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Premier League

Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town

09/12/2026, 02:00 PM

2 : 3
Expected Goals
Crystal Palace
1.7
Total xG
2.6
Ipswich Town
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
CPIT

Crystal Palace

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.07
Daniel Muñoz not in squad (4 goals, 3 assists)
Eddie Nketiah not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
52% of goal output missing (only 63% available)
Strong home record (1.7 vs 1.4 goals/match)

Ipswich Town

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.81
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.00
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.33
+0.33
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Crystal Palace: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Crystal Palace: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

81%

Away or Draw

45%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical advantage: The model predicts a 55% probability for a Crystal Palace home victory
  • Tactical shots threat: Ipswich Town averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent games compared to Crystal Palace's 3.2
  • Perfect historic record: Crystal Palace won both previous head-to-head meetings keeping a clean sheet
Risk Factors
  • Squad depletion: Daniel Muñoz (4 goals, 3 assists) and Eddie Nketiah (2 goals) are missing, leaving only 63% of the active goals share available
  • Attacking dip: Crystal Palace's goal average drops to 1.2 in recent matches compared to a 1.4 season average
  • Restricted player performance statistics in the provided dataset for the visiting Ipswich Town team
Overview

Crystal Palace hosts Ipswich Town at Selhurst Park

Premier League match on September 12, 2026, 3:00 PM

Both teams sit mid-table on 3 points after 3 games

Form

Crystal Palace form: LWLLW

Ipswich Town form: DWWLL

Crystal Palace won their last match 3-2 against Fulham

Ipswich Town suffered two straight defeats recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Crystal Palace scores avg 1.08 goals and concedes avg 1.34 per game

Ipswich Town scores avg 1.74 and concedes avg 1.02 per match

Away from home, Ipswich concedes an average of 1.43 goals

Head-to-Head

2 head-to-head matches in history

Crystal Palace won both games keeping clean sheets

The last meeting ended 1-0 for Palace on March 8, 2025

Key Players

Adam Wharton excels with 5 assists in 34 season appearances

Tyrick Mitchell scored twice in his last 5 games (6.96 rating)

Daichi Kamada shows a rising form trend with one recent assist

Leif Davis starts at left-back for the visiting team

Dara O'Shea starts in central defense for the visitors

Jacob Greaves anchors the backline in the starting XI

Goalkeepers

Walter BenĂ­tez starts in goal for Crystal Palace (season rating 7.3)

Kjell Scherpen is the starting goalkeeper for Ipswich Town

Crystal Palace has recorded 12 clean sheets this season

Ipswich Town has kept 17 clean sheets during the campaign

Influences

Played on natural grass at Selhurst Park

The last 5 matches here averaged 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of those home encounters

Crystal Palace secured 7 clean sheets at home this season

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