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Premier League

Coventry City - Brighton & Hove Albion

09/13/2026, 01:00 PM

0 : 5
Expected Goals
Coventry City
1.1
Total xG
2.3
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

10%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
What influences the xG?
CCB&HA

Coventry City

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.80
Attack strength (1.23x league average)
+0.42
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.36
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.23
Declining form (1.4 vs 2.2 season average)
-0.23

Brighton & Hove Albion

Rising form (3 vs 1.6 season average)
+0.43
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.25
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Mats Wieffer not in squad (2 goals, 3 assists)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Brighton & Hove Albion with Yasin Ayari starting: 1.5 goals/game, without him: 1 (11/9 games, last 28)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

32%

Away Win

35%

Goals

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

65%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • Tactical dominance: Brighton & Hove Albion controlled recent matches with 72% average possession and 6.2 shots on target
  • In-form attack: Brighton & Hove Albion currently score 3.0 goals per game, well above their season average of 1.6
  • Coventry struggles: The hosts have failed to score in their last three league matches
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability regarding Coventry City's squad and player form
  • Midfield absence: Mats Wieffer is missing from the squad for Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Declining attack: Coventry City's goal output dropped recently to 1.4 goals per game
Overview

Coventry City host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League

The match takes place at The Coventry Building Society Arena on September 13, 2026, 2:00 PM

Coventry City currently sit in 20th place with 0 points

Brighton & Hove Albion are in 12th place with 4 points

The bottom team is desperately searching for their first points of the season

Form

Coventry City's form is WWLLL and they have lost their last three matches

Most recently, the hosts suffered a 0-1 defeat against Manchester City

Brighton & Hove Albion enter the game with DWWLD form

Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Leeds United

The visitors have recorded 2 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches

Statistics

Coventry City average 2.11 goals scored and 0.98 goals conceded this season

Brighton & Hove Albion average 1.37 goals scored per game

The visitors concede an average of 1.21 goals per match

At home, Coventry City average 2.12 goals scored and 0.79 goals conceded

On the road, Brighton & Hove Albion concede an average of 1.62 goals

Goalkeepers

Carl Rushworth is in goal for the hosts and kept 17 clean sheets this season

Bart Verbruggen guards the net for Brighton & Hove Albion with 10 clean sheets

Influences

The game will be played on natural grass at The Coventry Building Society Arena

The venue averages a high historical scoring rate of 3.2 total goals per match

Both teams scored in 60% of the previous matches played at this stadium

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