Super League
Thun - Young Boys
01/25/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.3
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
28%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
80%
Over 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
70%
No
30%
Key Factors
- Drastic difference in form and standings: Thun's winning streak and league leadership starkly contrast with Young Boys' losing streak and mid-table position
- Offensive firepower vs. leaky defense: Thun's strong home record (2.0 goals per game) meets Young Boys' extremely vulnerable away defense (2.89 goals conceded per game)
- Painful absences on both sides: Thun must do without top scorer Ibayi, while Young Boys are missing key defenders like Hadjam and Janko, further weakening their backline
Risk Factors
- Historical dominance: Despite their current form crisis, Young Boys have clearly dominated past head-to-head encounters (3-1 win record in the last 5 matches)
- Absence of the top scorer: The absence of Christopher Ibayi (9 season goals) could significantly weaken Thun's attacking power
Overview
League leaders Thun (1st place, 43 points) host Young Boys (6th place, 29 points) at the Stockhorn Arena
This is a Super League match on January 25, 2026, 2:00 PM
With a significant 14-point gap, Thun enters the match as the clear favorite
Form
Thun: WLWWW (4 wins, 1 loss)
The home team is in excellent form, having won their last 3 consecutive matches
Young Boys: WLLLL (1 win, 4 losses)
The visitors are in a form crisis, having lost their last 4 consecutive matches
The form advantage clearly lies with Thun
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Thun boasts a strong offense, averaging 2.1 goals per game
Young Boys, on the other hand, have a vulnerable defense, conceding 2.05 goals per game, which rises to 2.89 away from home
70% of Thun's season matches have seen both teams score
The Stockhorn Arena is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match in recent fixtures
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Young Boys have the upper hand with 3 wins to Thun's 1
One match ended in a draw
The goal difference of 13:6 also speaks clearly for Young Boys
The last meeting in September 2025 was won by Young Boys 4-2
Key Players
Elmin Rastoder has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Leonardo Bertone is a key factor in Thun's midfield with 6 goals this season
For Young Boys, Christian Fassnacht is the offensive focal point with 11 season goals and 6 assists
Chris Bedia is the visitors' top scorer with 12 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Niklas Steffen will be in goal for Thun; he has kept 4 clean sheets in 20 league appearances
On the other side is Marvin Keller, who has also kept 4 clean sheets in 20 appearances
However, Keller has conceded 13 goals in his last 4 matches
Influences
The match takes place at the Stockhorn Arena, giving Thun a clear home advantage
The artificial turf at the stadium favors the home team, who have won 6 of their 10 home games on this surface
The stadium's statistics, with an average of 3.4 goals per game, suggest an entertaining match