Premier League
Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur
05/19/2026, 07:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
The Lab
- 1Chelsea with Enzo Fernández: 0.5 goals/90 min. Without: 6.6 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Tottenham Hotspur: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 3Tottenham Hotspur with Richarlison: 1 goals/90 min. Without: 2.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Tottenham Hotspur: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Tottenham Hotspur: 68% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
29%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Historical Dominance: Chelsea won all last 5 head-to-head matches against Tottenham Hotspur
- Current Form: Tottenham Hotspur has been more stable in the last 5 games with 2 wins and 2 draws, while Chelsea only secured one win
- Offensive Weakness: Chelsea's goal production has significantly decreased recently (0.6 goals/game compared to 1.9 season average)
Risk Factors
- Short Recovery Time: Chelsea had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Lack of Goal Threat: Chelsea averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Chelsea (10th place, 49 points) host Tottenham Hotspur (17th place, 38 points) at Stamford Bridge. The Premier League match takes place on May 19, 2026, 8:15 PM. Chelsea are in mid-table, while Tottenham are fighting in the lower ranks to remain in the league. The hosts want to close the gap to the European places, while the visitors urgently need points against relegation.
Form
Chelsea's recent form is weak with 'LWLDL' (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) from the last five matches, including 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last result was a loss. Tottenham Hotspur, on the other hand, performed slightly better with 'LDWWD', securing 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their last result was a draw.
Statistics
Chelsea averages 1.53 goals scored per game and concedes 1.36 goals this season. At home, the average is 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded. They kept 9 clean sheets and both teams scored in 22 matches. Tottenham Hotspur averages 1.28 goals scored per game and concedes 1.53 goals. Away, they score 1.25 goals and concede 1.2 goals. They achieved 8 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 22 matches. At Stamford Bridge, an average of 3.6 goals per game are scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches. Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea dominated with 5 wins, while Tottenham Hotspur recorded no wins and no draws. Chelsea scored a total of 12 goals and conceded 4 goals in these encounters. The last match on November 1, 2025, ended with a 1-0 victory for Chelsea.
Key Players
For Chelsea, Enzo Fernández with 9 goals and 3 assists in 34 season appearances (avg rating 7.23) and Cole Palmer with 9 goals and 1 assist in 24 games (avg rating 6.99) are key offensive players. Pedro Neto contributed 5 goals and 4 assists in 32 appearances (avg rating 6.94). For Tottenham Hotspur, Richarlison is a key attacking player with 10 goals and 5 assists in 30 season appearances (avg rating 6.93). João Palhinha was active with 4 goals and 2 assists in 31 appearances (avg rating 6.88). Mathys Tel scored 4 goals and 1 assist in 29 games (avg rating 6.74).
Goalkeepers
For Chelsea, Robert Sánchez is in goal and contributed to the team's 9 clean sheets this season. For Tottenham Hotspur, Antonín Kinský played in 5 games, while the team achieved a total of 8 clean sheets.
Influences
Stamford Bridge is known for its high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match in the last five games. In 80% of these matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored. The playing surface is grass. Chelsea scores an average of 1.5 goals at home and concedes the same number of goals. Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.25 goals away and concedes 1.2 goals.