Premier League
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Fulham
05/17/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.4
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
11%0:0
11%1:2
9%0:2
9%What influences the xG?
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Fulham
The Lab
- 1Wolverhampton Wanderers with Yerson Mosquera: 1.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Fulham with Ryan Sessegnon: 1.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Wolverhampton Wanderers: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Wolverhampton Wanderers: 73% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5Wolverhampton Wanderers: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
25%
Draw
30%
Away Win
44%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
56%
Away or Draw
75%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Key Factors
- Significant weakening for Fulham: Harry Wilson (10G/6A) and Samuel Chukwueze (3G/4A) are missing, only 44% of the usual goal threat is available
- Wolverhampton Wanderers show extremely poor season performance as bottom of the table, with recent goal production stagnating at 0.2 goals
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Fulham with a probability of 44%
Risk Factors
- Fulham concedes an average of 2.31 goals per away game
- Wolverhampton Wanderers score only an average of 0.69 goals per home game
- Both teams registered low averages of 3.0 (Wolves) and 2.6 (Fulham) shots on target in their last 5 matches
Overview
Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 18 points) host Fulham (11th place, 48 points) at Molineux Stadium
Premier League match on May 17, 2026, 3:00 PM
Wolves are deeply entrenched in a relegation battle, while Fulham is positioned in mid-table
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers show very poor form with LLLDL across all competitions
This means 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a loss
Fulham's form is LDWLL, which corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a loss
Fulham currently has 2 consecutive losses, while Wolves have one consecutive loss
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Wolverhampton Wanderers score an average of 0.69 goals per game and concede 1.83 goals per game
At home, the team scores an average of 0.69 goals and concedes 1.27 goals
Fulham scores an average of 1.22 goals and concedes 1.39 goals per game
Away from home, Fulham scores 1.23 goals and concedes 2.31 goals per game
At Molineux Stadium, the last 5 games saw an average of 2.4 total goals per match
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the 5 direct encounters so far, there have been no draws
Wolverhampton Wanderers won 2 of these matches, Fulham won 3
Overall, Wolves scored 9 goals and Fulham scored 10 goals
The last match on November 1, 2025, was won by Fulham with a 3-0 score
Key Players
For Wolverhampton Wanderers, Santiago Bueno (3 goals, 1 assist) and Rodrigo Gomes (3 goals) are important attacking players
Defender Ladislav Krejci contributed 2 goals and 1 assist
For Fulham, Alex Iwobi (4 goals, 3 assists) and Emile Smith Rowe (3 goals) are key midfielders
SaĆĄa LukiÄ adds 1 goal and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
José Så was in goal for Wolverhampton Wanderers in 21 season appearances, his team kept 4 clean sheets
Bernd Leno made 36 season appearances for Fulham, his team kept 8 clean sheets
Influences
Wolverhampton Wanderers score an average of 0.69 goals at home and concede 1.27 goals
Fulham score an average of 1.23 goals away and concede 2.31 goals
Molineux Stadium has seen an average of 2.4 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at Molineux Stadium
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches at Molineux Stadium