Premier League
Liverpool - Brentford
05/24/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
3.6
1.2
2:1
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%2:2
6%1:2
5%What influences the xG?
Liverpool
Brentford
The Lab
- 1Brentford: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Liverpool with Andrew Robertson: 2.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.9 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Brentford with Kristoffer Ajer: 3 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (4 of 8 games)
- 4Liverpool: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
48%
Under 3.5
52%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
40%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Liverpool with approximately 61% probability
- Liverpool's home offense scores an average of 1.65 goals, while Brentford concedes 2.14 goals away
- Liverpool averaged 55% possession and 4.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Brentford concedes an average of 2.14 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Liverpool's form in the last five games shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
- Brentford's form in the last five games shows 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Overview
Liverpool (5th place, 59 points) host Brentford (9th place, 52 points) at Anfield
Premier League match on May 24, 2026, 5:00 PM
Liverpool aims for a European spot, while Brentford is in mid-table
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Liverpool's form in the last five games (all competitions): WWLDL
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last result was a loss
Brentford's form in the last five games (all competitions): DLWLD
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a draw
Statistics
Liverpool scores an average of 1.68 goals per game and concedes 1.41 goals
At home, the average is 1.65 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded
Brentford scores an average of 1.46 goals per game and concedes 1.38 goals
Away, the average is 1.50 goals scored and 2.14 goals conceded
Anfield sees an average of 2.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40%
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4 times and Brentford won 1 time
There were no draws between the teams
Liverpool scored a total of 13 goals, while Brentford scored 4 goals
The last encounter on October 25, 2025, ended in a 2:3 loss for Liverpool against Brentford
Key Players
Liverpool's key players in the starting lineup are:
Dominik Szoboszlai with 6 goals and 7 assists and an average rating of 7.36
Mohamed Salah with 7 goals and 6 assists and an average rating of 6.85
Cody Gakpo with 7 goals and 5 assists and an average rating of 7.07
Not nominated: Florian Wirtz (5G/3A)
Brentford's key players in the starting lineup are:
Igor Thiago with 22 goals and 1 assist and an average rating of 7.08
Dango Ouattara with 7 goals and 3 assists and an average rating of 6.88
Kevin Schade with 7 goals and 3 assists and an average rating of 6.80
Not nominated: Mikkel Damsgaard (4G/4A), Yegor Yarmolyuk (1G/3A)
Goalkeepers
Alisson is Liverpool's goalkeeper with 25 season appearances and an average rating of 6.83
Liverpool recorded 5 home clean sheets
Caoimhín Kelleher is Brentford's goalkeeper with 36 season appearances and an average rating of 6.89
Brentford recorded 5 away clean sheets
Influences
Liverpool's home strength is evident with an average of 1.65 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded per home game
Brentford conceded an average of 2.14 goals per away game
Anfield averages 2.8 goals per match
In the last 5 games at this venue, both teams scored in 2 cases and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 cases