Championship
West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers
09/01/2026, 06:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
League
The Lab
- 1Taty Castellanos: 4 of 4 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)
- 2Wolverhampton Wanderers: 4 of 10 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
- 3Wolverhampton Wanderers: 50% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (5 of 10)
- 4Wolverhampton Wanderers: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)
- 5West Ham United: 6 of 17 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)
- 6West Ham United: 71% of all goals in the second half (12 of 17, last 12 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
32%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Home advantage and mathematical backing: The predictive model estimates a home win probability of 39%
- Tactical edge: West Ham United recently averaged 5.2 shots on target per match
- Historical push: The last head-to-head encounter at the London Stadium resulted in a commanding 4-0 home victory for West Ham
Risk Factors
- Away defensive vulnerability: Wolverhampton Wanderers concede an average of 3.09 goals per away match
- Offensive slowdown: West Ham United recently averaged 1.2 goals per game, dropping below their season average of 1.34
- Limited data availability concerning current squad player form in the provided dataset
Overview
West Ham United host Wolverhampton Wanderers at the London Stadium
Championship match on September 1, 2026, 7:45 PM
West Ham sit in 19th place with 2 points
Wolverhampton are in 2nd place with 7 points
The hosts are under early pressure at the bottom of the table
Form
West Ham Form: LLLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The hosts recently recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Wolverhampton Form: LDLDD
The visitors are winless in 5 matches with 3 draws and 2 losses
Statistics
West Ham score an average of 1.21 goals and concede 1.71 goals per match
Wolverhampton average a meager 0.71 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded
The visitors concede an extremely high average of 3.09 goals in away matches
The London Stadium averages 2.8 goals per fixture
Head-to-Head
Balanced historical record with 2 wins for each team in 4 head-to-head matches
The last meeting ended in a clear 4-0 home win for West Ham United
A total of 11 goals were scored in the 4 encounters
Key Players
Jarrod Bowen averages a venue rating of 7.20 with 7 goals and 8 assists
Konstantinos Mavropanos records a rating of 7.04 alongside 3 home goals
Kyle Walker-Peters delivers steady performances with a rating of 6.73
RaĂșl JimĂ©nez shines with a strong venue rating of 7.80 and 1 goal
André controls the game with an average rating of 6.69
Hugo Bueno performs reliably with a rating of 6.52
Goalkeepers
Mads Hermansen (West Ham United, rating 6.68)
José Så (Wolverhampton Wanderers, rating 6.35)
West Ham United kept 7 clean sheets this season
Wolverhampton Wanderers recorded 4 clean sheets so far
Influences
The home advantage at the London Stadium is supported by an average of 2.8 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals are scored in 80% of matches at this venue
The match will be played on a classic natural grass surface