Super League
Sion - Luzern
02/07/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.0
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
31%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
36%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Sion's home strength (only 0.9 goals conceded per game) meets Luzern's weak away defense (1.9 goals conceded per game)
- Both teams are in inconsistent form and are coming off a series of draws, suggesting a tight match
- The Stade de Tourbillon is a low-scoring venue (only 20% of matches over 2.5 goals), which could counteract Luzern's typically high-scoring style of play
Risk Factors
- Luzern is suffering from several absences in defense, which could further weaken their already vulnerable backline
- The prediction for a game with goals from both sides contradicts the venue's history, making bets on goal totals risky
- The series of draws for both teams suggests that a clear result is difficult to predict
Overview
Sion (5th place, 33 points) hosts Luzern (10th place, 23 points) at the Stade de Tourbillon for a Super League match on February 7, 2026, at 6:00 PM. Sion aims to keep pace with the top teams, while Luzern looks to move up from the bottom half of the table.
Form
Sion (Form: LWDDD) has managed only one win in their last five games, with three draws and one loss. Their last three matches all ended in a draw. Luzern (Form: LWLDD) shows similar inconsistency with one win, two draws, and two losses. The visitors also come into this match off two consecutive draws. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Offensively, Luzern is slightly stronger with an average of 1.82 goals per game compared to Sion's 1.55. However, Sion is significantly more stable in defense, conceding only 1.27 goals per game, while Luzern concedes an average of 1.95. Sion is particularly strong defensively at home, allowing just 0.9 goals per game. Luzern's matches have exceeded 2.5 goals in 17 of 22 season games.
Head-to-Head
The record of the last five head-to-head encounters is balanced. Luzern has won two, Sion one, and two matches ended in a draw. The goal difference is also even at 9:9. The last game between the two teams finished 1-1.
Key Players
For Sion, Rilind Nivokazi stands out as the top scorer with 8 season goals, supported by Ilyas Chouaref, who has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists. Winsley Boteli is in rising form, having scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances. For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto is the key player with 7 goals and 9 assists. Adrian Grbic and Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira have each scored 6 goals this season.
Goalkeepers
In goal for Sion is Anthony Racioppi, who has kept 7 clean sheets this season. His counterpart at Luzern, Pascal Loretz, has managed 3 clean sheets so far.
Influences
Sion benefits from a clear home advantage, underscored by their record of only one loss in ten home games on natural grass. In contrast, Luzern has struggled away on the same surface, winning just one of ten matches. The Stade de Tourbillon tends to be a low-scoring venue; the last five matches there saw an average of only 2.2 goals, and only 20% of them ended with over 2.5 goals.