Super League
Basel - Zürich
02/08/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.4
1.0
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
31%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
28%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Critical absences for Zürich: The visitors are missing key players, leaving only 53% of their season's goal-scoring threat available
- Defensive mismatch: Basel's stable home defense (0.9 goals conceded/game) faces Zürich's very vulnerable away defense (2.22 goals conceded/game)
- Head-to-head dominance: Basel has won 4 of the last 5 encounters, showing clear superiority
Risk Factors
- Poor current form: Despite being favorites, Basel themselves have only won one of their last five games, making the match unpredictable
- Basel's own absences: The home team is also weakened, having to do without players responsible for 32% of the season's goals
Overview
Basel (4th place, 36 points) host Zürich (9th place, 25 points) at St. Jakob-Park
The Super League match will take place on February 8, 2026, at 4:30 PM
Basel aims to solidify their position in the upper third of the table, while Zürich tries to pull away from the mid-table
Form
Basel form: DLWLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Zürich form: LLDLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Both teams are in a crisis of form, with Zürich being winless in their last five games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Offensively, Basel scores an average of 1.55 goals per game, while Zürich scores 1.45
Defensively, the picture is clear: Basel concedes only 1.18 goals per game, whereas Zürich concedes 1.95
The difference is particularly stark in away games, where Zürich concedes an average of 2.22 goals, while Basel allows only 0.9 goals at home
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, Basel has dominated with 4 wins to Zürich's one
The goal difference is 11:5 in favor of Basel
Basel won the last meeting on January 25, 2026, with a score of 4:3
Key Players
Xherdan Shaqiri has contributed 9 goals and 10 assists for Basel this season
Philip Otele is also a key offensive player with 5 goals and 4 assists
For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny is the top scorer with 8 season goals
Matthias Phaëton follows him with 7 goals
Goalkeepers
Basel's goalkeeper Marwin Hitz has kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches this season
Silas Huber, who is in goal for Zürich, has not yet kept a clean sheet in his single appearance this season
Influences
The last five matches at St. Jakob-Park have tended to be low-scoring, with an average of just 1.6 goals per game
Only 20% of these matches had over 2.5 goals, but both teams scored in 60% of them
Both teams are used to the grass surface, and their season records on this pitch are nearly identical