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Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord

08/09/2026, 10:15 AM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Sparta Rotterdam
1.0
Total xG
2.5
Feyenoord
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%

2:1

6%

0:3

5%
What influences the xG?
SRFEY

Sparta Rotterdam

Standings disadvantage (pos 10 vs 2, 8 places gap)
-0.09
Defensive strength (1.9 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.08
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.06
Tobias Lauritsen not in squad (12 goals, 5 assists)
Joshua Kitolano not in squad (5 goals, 2 assists)
Mitchell van Bergen on the bench (3 goals, 4 assists)
Teo Quintero on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
63% of goal output missing (only 35% available)

Feyenoord

Defensive strength (1.5 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.29
Standings advantage (pos 2 vs 10, 8 places gap)
+0.06
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.05
Jordan Bos not in squad (4 goals, 7 assists)
Oussama Targhalline on the bench (2 goals, 4 assists)
Tsuyoshi WatanabeĀ  not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
Mats Deijl on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.6 goals/match)
+1.10
+1.10
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Feyenoord: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 8 total)

  • 2
    Sparta Rotterdam with Casper Terho: 0.2 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Feyenoord: 77% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 4
    Feyenoord: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 5
    Sparta Rotterdam: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

23%

Draw

29%

Away Win

48%

Goals

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

52%

Away or Draw

77%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact for Sparta Rotterdam: Only 36% of their regular goal-scoring strength is available, with key players like Tobias Lauritsen, Joshua Kitolano, Mitchell van Bergen, and Teo Quintero missing from the lineup
  • Tactical offensive advantage: Feyenoord averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Sparta Rotterdam's average of only 3.0 shots on target
  • Artificial turf dominance: Feyenoord travels undefeated on artificial turf (5 wins, 1 draw) to face a struggling Sparta side with 4 defeats in their last 5 matches
Risk Factors
  • Defensive vulnerability: Sparta Rotterdam conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game in recent matches, significantly higher than their season average of 1.88
  • Struggling offense: The hosts' goal production is currently stalling at just 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.2
  • Squad absences for Feyenoord: Key players like Jordan Bos, Oussama Targhalline, Tsuyoshi Watanabe, and Mats Deijl are missing from the visitors' starting lineup
Overview

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Feyenoord at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Eredivisie match on August 9, 2026, 12:15 PM

Feyenoord enters as favorites with a calculated win probability of 48%

Form

Sparta Rotterdam is in weak form with LLDLL

The hosts secured only 1 draw and suffered 4 defeats in this period

Feyenoord is in much more stable form with DWWDW

The visitors remained unbeaten with 3 wins and 2 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Sparta Rotterdam scored avg. 1.18 goals and conceded avg. 1.82 goals this season

In home games, Sparta's average stands at 1.17 goals scored and 1.5 conceded

Feyenoord scored an average of 2.06 goals while conceding 1.29 per match

The visitors score an average of 2.07 goals away and concede 1.4

Both teams scored in 15 out of 34 matches for Sparta Rotterdam

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

Feyenoord leads the historical record with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Sparta Rotterdam and 1 draw

The goal difference stands at 11:5 in favor of Feyenoord

The last encounter ended in a 4:3 win for Sparta Rotterdam

Key Players

Shunsuke Mito scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists this season

Ayoni Santos holds an average season rating of 6.79

Casper Terho contributed 1 goal and 1 assist

Ayase Ueda leads the visitors' attack with an outstanding 25 goals this season

Anis Hadj Moussa recorded strong figures of 11 goals and 6 assists

Luciano Valente contributed 7 assists during this campaign

Goalkeepers

Filip Bednarek starts in goal for Sparta Rotterdam

Tjark Ernst is the goalkeeper for Feyenoord

Sparta Rotterdam achieved 11 clean sheets this season

Feyenoord kept a clean sheet in 10 matches

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats on this surface

Feyenoord travels with a strong artificial turf record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 defeats

On average, matches at this stadium feature 3 goals per game

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