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Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard - SC Cambuur

08/15/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Fortuna Sittard
1.4
Total xG
3.2
SC Cambuur
1.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
FSSC

Fortuna Sittard

Defensive strength (1.9 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
+0.59
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.02
Kaj Sierhuis not in squad (12 goals, 1 assists)
Dimitrios Limnios not in squad (2 goals, 6 assists)
Lance Duijvestijn not in squad (3 goals, 2 assists)
Neraysho Kasanwirjo not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
44% of goal output missing (only 72% available)

SC Cambuur

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.39
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.1 goals/match)
+0.59
+0.59
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Fortuna Sittard: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Fortuna Sittard: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes

  • 3
    Fortuna Sittard with Justin Hubner: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Fortuna Sittard: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

26%

Away Win

44%

Goals

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

56%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

64%

No

36%

Key Factors
  • Squad limitations for Fortuna Sittard: key players like Kaj Sierhuis (12 goals, 1 assist) and Dimitrios Limnios (2 goals, 6 assists) are missing, leaving only 73% of normal starting threat available
  • Tactical contrast: Fortuna Sittard was recently counter-oriented with an average of 40% possession, while Cambuur managed only 2.0 shots on target in their last game
  • Mathematical advantage: The model prediction favors SC Cambuur with a winning probability of 44%
Risk Factors
  • Defensive weakness: SC Cambuur already conceded 4 goals in their first match of the season
  • Limited data availability for SC Cambuur due to missing player form data in the provided dataset
  • Reduced attacking options for Fortuna Sittard with four important regular players missing
Overview

Fortuna Sittard host SC Cambuur at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Eredivisie match on August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM

Fortuna Sittard currently sit in 11th place with 1 point

SC Cambuur occupy 18th place with 0 points after one defeat

Both teams are looking for their first victory of this Eredivisie campaign

Form

Fortuna Sittard shows a form trend of LLWLD

The home side recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw away at PSV

SC Cambuur shows a form trend of L

The visitors lost their only match 0-4 against Excelsior

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Fortuna Sittard score an average of 1.44 goals and concede 1.85 goals

At home they average 1.47 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded

SC Cambuur have scored 0 goals and conceded 4 goals so far this season

In Fortuna Sittard's home matches, 5 out of 5 games ended with both teams scoring

Key Players

Mohamed Ihattaren leads Fortuna Sittard with 6 goals and 10 assists in 28 appearances

Philip Brittijn contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in 32 games

Yassin Oukili scored 2 goals in 13 matches

For SC Cambuur, Thijs Jansen and Ismaƫl Baouf are part of the starting lineup

Goalkeepers

Mattijs Branderhorst plays in goal for Fortuna Sittard and has a season rating of 7.00

Thijs Jansen guards the goal for SC Cambuur and made 5 saves in the game against Excelsior

Neither team has managed to keep a clean sheet so far this season

Influences

The Fortuna Sittard Stadion averages 3.6 goals per game

The rate of both teams scoring at this venue is 100%

The game will be played on natural grass

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