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Eredivisie

Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles

08/16/2026, 12:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Feyenoord
2.6
Total xG
3.4
Go Ahead Eagles
0.8
Most Likely Scores

2:0

11%

3:0

10%

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

1:1

8%
What influences the xG?
FEYGAE

Feyenoord

Attack strength (1.42x league average)
+1.64
Standings advantage (pos 2 vs 12, 10 places gap)
+0.13
Defensive strength (1.5 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.12
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.04
Jordan Bos not in squad (4 goals, 7 assists)
Oussama Targhalline on the bench (2 goals, 4 assists)
Mats Deijl on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)

Go Ahead Eagles

Attack weakness (0.49x league average)
-1.44
Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.9 league avg)
-0.23
Rising form (2 vs 1.6 season average)
+0.12
Standings disadvantage (pos 12 vs 2, 10 places gap)
-0.09
Jakob Breum not in squad (6 goals, 5 assists)
Melle Meulensteen not in squad (5 goals, 1 assists)
StefƔn Ingi Sigurdarson on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Aske Adelgaard not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Julius Dirksen not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
37% of goal output missing (only 69% available)
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.6 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.79
+0.79
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Feyenoord: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)

  • 2
    Go Ahead Eagles with Finn Stokkers: 0.6 goals/game. Without: 3 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

  • 3
    Feyenoord with Tobias van den Elshout: 1.7 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Go Ahead Eagles: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Feyenoord: 45% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (5 of 11)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

16%

Away Win

8%

Goals

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

92%

Away or Draw

25%

No Draw

84%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Feyenoord's home attacking power with an average of 2.05 goals meets the fragile away defense of the visitors conceding 2.23 goals per match
  • The strong form of the home side with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches supports the calculated home win probability of 76%
  • Feyenoord played offensively dominant in recent matches, averaging 6.0 shots on target per game
Risk Factors
  • The visitors travel with a depleted squad: Jakob Breum, Melle Meulensteen, StefĆ”n Ingi Sigurdarson, Aske Adelgaard, and Julius Dirksen are missing, leaving only 69% of their usual attacking strength available
  • The severe away weakness of Go Ahead Eagles, conceding an average of 2.23 goals per game on the road, threatens their defensive stability
Overview

Feyenoord host Go Ahead Eagles at the Stadion Feijenoord

Eredivisie fixture on August 16, 2026, 2:30 PM

Feyenoord currently sit in 11th place with 3 points

Go Ahead Eagles occupy 5th place with 3 points

The home side is the clear favorite with a calculated 76% win probability

Form

Feyenoord is in strong shape with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last result was a 1-0 away victory against Sparta Rotterdam

Go Ahead Eagles travel with a form of DDLLW

The visitors won their last match 4-1 against Willem II

Statistics

Feyenoord average 2.06 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per game

Go Ahead Eagles record 1.59 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per match

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 2.23 goals

Feyenoord recorded 10 clean sheets in their seasonal stats

Head-to-Head

In the last 4 head-to-head encounters, Feyenoord dominated with 3 wins

Go Ahead Eagles registered 1 win in this matchup

The overall goal difference stands at 10-5 in favor of Feyenoord

The last meeting on February 15, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home win for Feyenoord

Key Players

For Feyenoord, Ayase Ueda stands out with 25 goals and a 7.36 average rating

Anis Hadj Moussa contributed 11 goals and 6 assists

Luciano Valente supports the midfield with 2 goals and 7 assists

For the visitors, Mathis Suray is the top threat with 12 goals

Victor Edvardsen recorded 4 goals and 7 assists

SĆøren Tengstedt contributes with 4 goals this season

Goalkeepers

Tjark Ernst starts in goal for Feyenoord, contributing to a team total of 10 clean sheets

Kjetil Haug stands between the posts for Go Ahead Eagles, whose team holds 9 clean sheets this season

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Stadion Feijenoord

Matches at this venue average 2.4 goals per game

The stadium BTTS rate stands at 80%

Feyenoord benefit from home strength, scoring 2.05 goals per home game

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