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Eredivisie

Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam

08/14/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 3
Expected Goals
Telstar
1.9
Total xG
2.8
Sparta Rotterdam
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
TELSR

Telstar

4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.27
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.5 season average)
+0.27
Sem van Duijn not in squad (5 goals, 2 assists)
Danny Bakker not in squad (4 goals, 2 assists)
Tyrese Noslin not in squad (2 goals, 3 assists)
Guus Offerhaus not in squad (1 goals, 3 assists)
Cedric Hatenboer not in squad (0 goals, 3 assists)
17% of goal output missing (only 73% available)

Sparta Rotterdam

Attack weakness (0.57x league average)
-0.69
Defensive weakness (1.8 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.41
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.05
Tobias Lauritsen not in squad (12 goals, 5 assists)
Joshua Kitolano not in squad (5 goals, 2 assists)
Mitchell van Bergen on the bench (3 goals, 4 assists)
Teo Quintero on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
63% of goal output missing (only 38% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sparta Rotterdam with Casper Terho: 0.2 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Sparta Rotterdam: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    Telstar: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

25%

Away Win

18%

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

82%

Away or Draw

43%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Extreme squad impact for Sparta Rotterdam: Only 38% of goal threat available, without Tobias Lauritsen, Joshua Kitolano, Mitchell van Bergen, Teo Quintero
  • Recent offensive form: Telstar averaged 2.4 goals in recent matches, well above their season average of 1.5
  • Historical advantage: Telstar secured a convincing 4-1 home victory in their last meeting on April 22, 2026
Risk Factors
  • Fragile away defense: Sparta Rotterdam conceded an average of 2.19 goals per away match this season
  • Low efficiency: Sparta Rotterdam averaged only 2.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Defensive trend: Sparta Rotterdam conceded an average of 2.8 goals in recent matches
Overview

Telstar host Sparta Rotterdam at the BUKO Stadion

Eredivisie match on August 14, 2026, 8:00 PM

Telstar are currently in 6th place with 3 points after a win

Sparta Rotterdam sit in 14th place with 0 points following a loss

The home side enter the match with confidence after their opening victory

Form

Telstar form: WDWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses)

Sparta Rotterdam form: LDLLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)

Telstar are unbeaten in 5 matches and come off three consecutive wins

Sparta Rotterdam are in a slump with three consecutive defeats

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Telstar scored an average of 1.44 goals per match and conceded 1.62 this season

In home games, Telstar averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded

Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded per match

Away from home, Sparta Rotterdam struggle defensively, conceding an average of 2.19 goals while scoring 1.19

The stadium stats show an average of 3.4 goals per match, with over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches in the database

The record is balanced with one win for each team

The last meeting on April 22, 2026, ended in a 4-1 victory for Telstar

The goal difference in direct duels is 4-2 in favor of Telstar

Key Players

Jeff Hardeveld (Midfielder) stands out with a 7.17 average rating, 6 goals, and 7 assists

Patrick Brouwer (Midfielder) has recorded 7 goals, 6 assists, and a 7.00 rating

Shunsuke Mito (Attacker) is a key player for Sparta Rotterdam with 7 goals and 3 assists

Not nominated for Telstar: Sem van Duijn (5G/2A), Danny Bakker (4G/2A), Tyrese Noslin (2G/3A), Guus Offerhaus (1G/3A), Cedric Hatenboer (0G/3A)

Goalkeepers

Ronald Koeman Jr. is in goal for Telstar, having scored 1 goal with a 7.27 rating this season

Filip Bednarek guards the goal for Sparta Rotterdam, achieving a 7.6 rating in his last match

Telstar have recorded 5 clean sheets this season

Sparta Rotterdam have kept a total of 11 clean sheets this season

Influences

The match is played on artificial turf, where Telstar have a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

Sparta Rotterdam have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats on artificial turf with a 13-14 goal difference

Telstar's home advantage is highlighted by a tighter defense conceding only 1.27 goals compared to 2.25 away from home

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