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Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard - AZ

08/22/2026, 02:30 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Fortuna Sittard
1.5
Total xG
2.8
AZ
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
FSAZ

Fortuna Sittard

Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.33
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.09
Mohamed Ihattaren on the bench (6 goals, 10 assists)
Kaj Sierhuis not in squad (12 goals, 1 assists)
Dimitrios Limnios not in squad (2 goals, 6 assists)
Philip Brittijn not in squad (4 goals, 1 assists)
Lance Duijvestijn not in squad (3 goals, 2 assists)
Justin Hubner not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)
Yassin Oukili on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
Neraysho Kasanwirjo not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

AZ

Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.98
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.14
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.9 season average)
+0.14
Troy Parrott not in squad (16 goals, 4 assists)
Sven Mijnans not in squad (11 goals, 6 assists)
Kees Smit not in squad (3 goals, 3 assists)
Isak Jensen not in squad (2 goals, 4 assists)
Mateo Chávez not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Alexandre Penetra not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)
Peer Koopmeiners not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
Jordy Clasie not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
96% of goal output missing (only 2% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.5 goals/match)
+1.00
+1.00
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Fortuna Sittard: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    AZ: first goal in 6 of 7 games (86%)

  • 3
    Fortuna Sittard with Kristoffer Peterson: 1 goals/game. Without: 2.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Fortuna Sittard: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    AZ: 35% of all goals between minutes 1-15 (6 of 17)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

28%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

61%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Only 0% of the goal threat is available for Fortuna Sittard without Mohamed Ihattaren, Kaj Sierhuis, and Dimitrios Limnios
  • Only 2% of the goal threat is available for AZ without Troy Parrott, Sven Mijnans, and Kees Smit
  • AZ averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches and play possession-dominant football
Risk Factors
  • AZ concede an average of 2.27 goals per away game
  • Limited data availability regarding the current form of Fortuna Sittard players
Overview

Fortuna Sittard host league leaders AZ

Top clash on August 22, 2026, 4:30 PM at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard sit in 4th place with 4 points

AZ lead the table in 1st place with 6 points

Form

Fortuna Sittard enter with form LWLDW and a win in their last match

A total of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses for the home side

AZ travel with form DDDWW and consecutive wins in their last 2 games

The visitors remain unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Fortuna Sittard score 1.44 goals on average and concede 1.85 per game

At home they score an average of 1.47 goals and concede 1.53

AZ average 1.71 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match

On the road AZ concede an average of 2.27 goals while scoring 1.73

Head-to-Head

Balanced record with 2 wins each in 4 head-to-head matches

Goal difference of 5 to 6 from Fortuna Sittard's perspective

The last meeting ended in a 2-0 win for AZ on April 4, 2026

No draws have been recorded between the teams

Key Players

Philip Brittijn has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist at home with a 6.84 rating

Lequincio Zeefuik holds an average rating of 7.57 with 1 home goal scored

Ole Romeny played 2 home matches with an average rating of 6.86

Wouter Goes has 33 appearances this season with 1 goal and a 6.85 average rating

Jari De Busser has an average rating of 7.36 in his appearances

Peer Koopmeiners convinces with an average rating of 6.81

Goalkeepers

Mattijs Branderhorst achieved a strong rating of 7.11 over 14 home matches

Fortuna Sittard have recorded 3 clean sheets so far this season

Jari De Busser averages a rating of 7.36 in his away appearances

AZ have already kept 9 clean sheets this season

Influences

Played on natural grass at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Historically matches in this stadium average a high-scoring 3.4 goals per game

Both teams have scored in all of the last 5 home games

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of those matches

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