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Eredivisie

Willem II - SC Heerenveen

08/30/2026, 12:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Willem II
1.8
Total xG
3.4
SC Heerenveen
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
What influences the xG?
WISH

Willem II

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.04
Full strength squad available

SC Heerenveen

Attack weakness (0.64x league average)
-0.76
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.20
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.7 season average)
-0.13
Marcus Linday not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.9 goals/match)
+1.40
+1.40
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    SC Heerenveen: opponent scores first in 8 of 11 games (73%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

25%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

67%

No

33%

Key Factors
  • Defensive vulnerability: Willem II conceded an average of 4.0 goals in recent matches
  • Lack of accuracy: The home side averaged only 1.5 shots on target in recent games
  • Offensive pressure: SC Heerenveen averaged a strong 5.4 shots on target in past matches
Risk Factors
  • Vulnerable defense: SC Heerenveen concede an average of 2.13 goals per away match
  • Limited data availability regarding player form statistics for Willem II
Overview

Willem II host SC Heerenveen at the Koning Willem II Stadion

Eredivisie match on August 30, 2026, 2:30 PM

Clash between 16th-placed Willem II (0 points) and 11th-placed Heerenveen (4 points)

Willem II search for their first points of the season after two consecutive losses

Form

Willem II enter with a form of LL including 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses

Heerenveen hold a form of DLWDL with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The visitors show a negative trend after their recent 0-2 defeat to PEC Zwolle

Willem II recently suffered a 1-4 loss against NEC Nijmegen

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Willem II average 1.0 goal scored and a massive 4.0 goals conceded per match

Heerenveen average 1.69 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded

Both of Willem II's matches this season featured over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring

Heerenveen average 1.73 goals scored and 2.13 goals conceded per away match

Head-to-Head

2 head-to-head matches in recent years

SC Heerenveen secured 2 wins, while Willem II recorded 0 wins

The goal difference stands at 2-5 in favor of the visitors

The last encounter ended in a 3-1 home win for Heerenveen on April 4, 2025

Key Players

Jacob Trenskow is Heerenveen's main threat with 13 goals and 5 assists this season

Dylan Vente contributed 8 goals and 3 assists in this campaign

Ringo Meerveld directs the midfield for the visitors with 6 goals and 3 assists this season

Goalkeepers

Karst de Leeuw features in goal for Willem II but has kept 0 clean sheets in 2 matches

Heerenveen's Bernt Klaverboer has played 30 games this campaign and secured 5 clean sheets

Influences

The match takes place on grass at the Koning Willem II Stadion

The venue history shows an average of 5.0 goals per match, with 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 rates

Willem II's home record shows one goal scored and four goals conceded

The visitors average 1.73 goals per away match

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