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Eredivisie

Telstar - SC Cambuur

09/06/2026, 12:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Telstar
1.4
Total xG
3.2
SC Cambuur
1.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

2:2

7%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
TELSC

Telstar

Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
+0.13
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.05
Soufiane Hetli not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
21% of goal output missing (only 81% available)

SC Cambuur

Attack weakness (0.46x league average)
-1.64
Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+1.04
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (4 goals/match)
+1.50
+1.50
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Telstar: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

26%

Away Win

45%

Goals

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

55%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

65%

No

35%

Key Factors
  • Telstar currently scores more frequently at 1.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.4
  • SC Cambuur suffer from severe defensive issues, conceding 4.0 goals per game on average
  • Telstar are missing Soufiane Hetli, reducing their attacking threat by 19%
Risk Factors
  • Cambuur's away weakness with an average of 3.0 goals conceded per away game
  • Telstar recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match
  • Limited data regarding away player forms and head-to-head records
Overview

Telstar host SC Cambuur at the BUKO Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 6, 2026, 2:30 PM

A bottom-of-the-table clash between 14th and 18th place

Telstar aim to extend their lead while Cambuur search for their first points

Form

Telstar's form is WWWLL with two consecutive defeats

Their last match ended in a 0-4 home defeat against Ajax

SC Cambuur's form is LLLL with four defeats in four games

They recently lost 1-4 at home to FC Twente

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Telstar average 1.44 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game

At home, they average 1.41 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded

Cambuur struggle defensively, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per match

In their only away match, Cambuur conceded 3 goals while scoring 1

Key Players

Jeff Hardeveld stands out in midfield with 6 goals and 7 assists in 34 appearances

Patrick Brouwer contributed 7 goals and 6 assists

Nökkvi Thórisson recorded 1 goal and 2 assists in 7 appearances

Goalkeepers

Ronald Koeman Jr. played 33 games for Telstar keeping 5 clean sheets

Thijs Jansen started in goal for Cambuur, who are yet to record a clean sheet this season

Influences

The match is played on artificial turf at the BUKO Stadion

Telstar have a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats on this surface

Matches at the venue average 3.6 goals with an 80% Over 2.5 rate

No data is available for SC Cambuur on artificial turf

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