Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam - PEC Zwolle
09/04/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
27%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Offensive surge: Sparta Rotterdam averages more goals recently (1.8) compared to their season average (1.3)
- Struggling visitors: PEC Zwolle's attack is currently stalling, averaging only 0.8 goals per match recently
- Home advantage and predictions: The model estimates a 75% probability for a home win or draw scenario
Risk Factors
- Defensive struggles on the road: PEC Zwolle concede an average of 2.78 goals per away match
- Historical disadvantage: Sparta Rotterdam have failed to win any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against PEC Zwolle
Overview
Sparta Rotterdam host PEC Zwolle at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Eredivisie match on September 4, 2026, 8:00 PM
A clash between table neighbors: Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th with 4 points, while PEC Zwolle are 13th with 3 points
Both teams aim to distance themselves from the lower half of the table
Form
Sparta Rotterdam recorded one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (Form: LLWDL)
They suffered a 1-2 defeat against Excelsior in their last match
PEC Zwolle have a similar record of one win and four losses (Form: LLLWL)
The visitors lost 1-3 to NEC Nijmegen in their previous game
Statistics
Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded per game this season
PEC Zwolle scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded 2.09 goals per match
The visitors struggle defensively away from home, conceding an average of 2.78 goals per game
Sparta Rotterdam average 1.17 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded in home matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam have zero wins, with two draws and two wins for PEC Zwolle
The goal difference in these matches is 2-4 in favor of PEC Zwolle
The last meeting on March 8, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
PEC Zwolle are historically the dominant side in this fixture
Key Players
Shunsuke Mito is a key attacker for Sparta Rotterdam with 7 goals and 3 assists in 25 appearances
Milan Zonneveld shows rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances
Marvin Young stabilizes Sparta Rotterdam's defense and scored twice in the last 5 matches
Koen Kostons leads PEC Zwolle with 11 goals and 6 assists in 34 matches
Thijs Oosting supports the visitors' midfield with 6 goals and 3 assists
Ryan Thomas controls PEC Zwolle's midfield with an average rating of 6.91
Goalkeepers
Michael Brouwer is in goal for Sparta Rotterdam, who recorded 11 clean sheets this season
Jasper Schendelaar defends PEC Zwolle's goal and has kept 6 clean sheets so far
The visitors' goalkeeper shows rising form with a rating of 6.92 in his recent matches
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf at the Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Sparta Rotterdam's record on artificial turf stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses
PEC Zwolle have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses on this surface
Venue history shows an average of 3.6 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate