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Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord

09/05/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 3
Expected Goals
NEC Nijmegen
1.4
Total xG
2.9
Feyenoord
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
What influences the xG?
NNFEY

NEC Nijmegen

Attack strength (1.21x league average)
-0.40
Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
-0.11
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
-0.06
Deveron Fonville on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)

Feyenoord

Defensive strength (1.5 conceded vs 2.3 league avg)
-0.81
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.11
Ayase Ueda not in squad (25 goals, 1 assists)
Anis Hadj Moussa on the bench (11 goals, 6 assists)
81% of goal output missing (only 36% available)
Weak away record (1.6 vs 2 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (4 goals/match)
+1.53
+1.53
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    NEC Nijmegen: 6 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (6 of 17 total)

  • 2
    NEC Nijmegen: opponent scores first in 8 of 11 games (73%)

  • 3
    NEC Nijmegen: scored only after the break in 6 of 12 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

28%

Away Win

35%

Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

65%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

59%

No

41%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact: Only 36% of the goal threat available for Feyenoord, without Ayase Ueda and Anis Hadj Moussa
  • Feyenoord averaged 7.8 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Head-to-head history favors Nijmegen with one win and zero losses in the last 4 clashes
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
  • Numerous injured defenders on both sides weaken the defensive formations
Overview

NEC Nijmegen hosts Feyenoord at the Goffertstadion

Eredivisie match on September 5, 2026, 4:30 PM

Clash between 7th place (6 points) and 3rd place (8 points)

A tight match is highly expected

Form

Home team with form code WWLLW (3 Win, 0 Draw, 2 Loss)

Away team with form code WWDWD (3 Win, 2 Draw, 0 Loss)

NEC Nijmegen won their last match 3-1 against PEC Zwolle

Feyenoord drew 2-2 in their last match against ADO Den Haag

Statistics

NEC Nijmegen averages 2.26 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per match

Feyenoord averages 2.06 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per match

Nijmegen averages 2.28 goals scored in home games

Feyenoord concedes an average of 1.4 goals in away matches

Head-to-Head

4 head-to-head matches in the database

1 win for NEC Nijmegen and 0 wins for Feyenoord with 3 draws

The last match ended in a 1-1 draw on April 12, 2026

A total of 6 goals scored by Nijmegen and 4 by Feyenoord

Key Players

Tjaronn Chery has 10 goals and 6 assists this season

Bryan Linssen has scored 11 goals and provided 7 assists

Bram Nuytinck stabilizes the defense with a rating of 6.4

Luciano Valente scored 2 goals and contributed 7 assists

Oussama Targhalline has 2 goals and 4 assists this season

Givairo Read provided 3 assists in 16 appearances

Goalkeepers

Gonzalo Crettaz stands in goal for the home team

Tjark Ernst guards the goal on the opposing side

Nijmegen has kept 5 clean sheets this season

Feyenoord has secured 10 clean sheets so far

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Goffertstadion

The venue averages 3.0 goals per match

Both teams scored in all 5 analyzed home matches

The rate for matches with over 2.5 goals stands at 80% here

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