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Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle - Feyenoord

09/13/2026, 02:45 PM

0 : 7
Expected Goals
PEC Zwolle
1.3
Total xG
3.6
Feyenoord
2.3
Most Likely Scores

1:2

9%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%

0:3

6%

2:1

5%
What influences the xG?
PZFEY

PEC Zwolle

Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.73
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.46
Standings disadvantage (pos 13 vs 4, 9 places gap)
-0.13
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.04
Full strength squad available

Feyenoord

Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 2.2 league avg)
-0.67
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.28
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.17
Rising form (2.6 vs 2 season average)
+0.17
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 13, 9 places gap)
+0.10
Ayase Ueda not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
16% of goal output missing (only 89% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.9 goals/match)
+1.40
+1.40
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Feyenoord: 6 of 16 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 2
    PEC Zwolle: 33% of all goals between minutes 16-30 (5 of 15)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

19%

Draw

21%

Away Win

60%

Goals

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

69%

Under 2.5

31%

Over 3.5

48%

Under 3.5

52%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

40%

Away or Draw

81%

No Draw

79%

Both Score

Yes

66%

No

34%

Key Factors
  • Feyenoord averaged an impressive 6.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • Outstanding record on artificial turf for the visitors with 6 wins from 7 games
  • Massive historical dominance with 4 consecutive wins for Feyenoord in recent duels
Risk Factors
  • The absence of attacker Ayase Ueda weakens the offensive line of the visitors
  • Only 4 days of recovery for Feyenoord after their demanding match against Barcelona
  • Defensive struggles of PEC Zwolle conceding an average of 2.09 goals per game
Overview

PEC Zwolle (13th place, 4 points) hosts Feyenoord (4th place, 11 points) at the MACĀ³PARK Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 13, 2026, 4:45 PM

The visitors enter the match as clear favorites

Form

Zwolle with form LLWLD

Feyenoord with a more stable form of DWDWL

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Zwolle struggles defensively with 71 goals conceded in the season (avg 2.09 per game)

Feyenoord is highly prolific with 70 goals scored (avg 2.06 per game)

Zwolle averages 1.31 goals scored per home match

Head-to-Head

Feyenoord clearly dominates the head-to-head record

Visitors won all of the last 4 matches

An aggregate score of 17:2 in favor of Feyenoord

The last encounter ended in a 2:0 away victory

Key Players

Koen Kostons (3 goals, rating 6.73)

Dylan Mbayo (3 assists, rating 7.13)

Ibrahim Cissoko (1 goal, rating 6.77)

Gjivai Zechiel (4 goals, 2 assists, rating 8.15)

Luciano Valente (3 goals, rating 7.63)

Anis Hadj Moussa (1 goal, 1 assist, rating 7.64)

Goalkeepers

Jasper Schendelaar in goal for Zwolle with a strong rating of 7.27

Tjark Ernst features for Feyenoord with a rating of 6.67

Zwolle registered 6 clean sheets so far, compared to Feyenoord's 10

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf at the MACĀ³PARK Stadion

Zwolle recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses on artificial turf

Feyenoord remains unbeaten on artificial turf with 6 wins and 1 draw

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