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Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag - SC Cambuur

09/19/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
ADO Den Haag
1.3
Total xG
3.1
SC Cambuur
1.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

7%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
ADHSC

ADO Den Haag

Attack weakness (0.38x league average)
-1.04
Defensive strength (2.7 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
+0.94
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.59
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.06
Full strength squad available

SC Cambuur

Attack weakness (0.76x league average)
-0.88
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.54
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.09

League

High-scoring league (3.9 goals/match)
+1.43
+1.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    SC Cambuur: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 6 games)

  • 2
    ADO Den Haag: opponent scores first in 5 of 6 games (83%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

25%

Draw

25%

Away Win

50%

Goals

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

50%

Away or Draw

75%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

62%

No

38%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical forecast favors the visitors with a 50% away win probability
  • Offensive trend is rising for SC Cambuur, averaging 1.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.5
  • SC Cambuur averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches, posing a major threat to the hosts' vulnerable defense
Risk Factors
  • Both defensive lines are highly unstable, conceding averages of 2.67 and 3.0 goals per match respectively
  • ADO Den Haag lost both games on this artificial turf, conceding 7 goals in the process
  • ADO Den Haag averaged only 3.6 shots on target in recent matches, limiting their offensive impact
Overview

ADO Den Haag hosts SC Cambuur at the WerkTalent Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 19, 2026, 4:30 PM

Basement battle between the bottom team (18th place, 1 point) and 15th place (4 points)

Both teams desperately need points in the relegation fight

Form

ADO Den Haag in poor form: LLDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

No seasonal win yet for the hosts with 4 losses in their last 5 matches

SC Cambuur shows form trend LLLDW after their recent 3-0 win against NEC Nijmegen

The visitors enter the match with momentum from their last victory

Statistics

Home team struggling offensively with an average of 1.0 goals scored per game

ADO Den Haag concedes an average of 2.67 goals per match

SC Cambuur scores an average of 1.5 goals per game while conceding 3.0 on average

Over 2.5 goals were scored and both teams found the net in both home games so far

Key Players

Evan Rottier with 1 goal and 2 assists with an average rating of 6.94

Yannick Eduardo with 2 goals in 6 seasonal appearances

Nigel Thomas contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 appearances

Rafik El Arguioui stands out with 4 goals in 6 appearances and a 7.29 rating

Ilyes Hamache impresses with 3 goals and 1 assist alongside a 7.15 rating

Billy van Duijl with a solid average rating of 7.03 in 3 games

Goalkeepers

Kilian NikieĢ€ma guards the home team's goal with a strong average rating of 7.52

Kilian NikieĢ€ma is still waiting for his first clean sheet of the season

Thijs Jansen is in goal for SC Cambuur, holding a rating of 6.6

Thijs Jansen has already recorded 1 clean sheet this season

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf at the WerkTalent Stadion

ADO Den Haag lost both previous league games on this artificial surface, with a 3:7 goal difference

SC Cambuur secured 1 draw on this turf so far, with a 2:2 scoreline

The historical goal average at this stadium stands at 5.0 goals per game

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