Super League
Servette - Thun
02/08/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.5
1.9
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
24%
Away Win
45%
Goals
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
40%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
55%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
74%
No
26%
Key Factors
- Huge gap in form and standings: League leaders Thun with 5 consecutive wins face a struggling mid-table Servette
- Thun's offensive superiority: The visitors average 2.18 goals per game and even 3.4 in recent matches, while Servette is defensively vulnerable at home (2.1 goals conceded)
- Advantage on natural grass: Thun has a perfect away record on grass (9 wins in 9 games), whereas Servette has only won 2 of 10 home games on the same surface
Risk Factors
- Servette's home attacking strength: Despite poor form, Servette consistently scores at home (1.8 per game), and key players like Guillemenot are in good shape
- Thun's missing top scorer: Thun will be without C. Ibayi (9 season goals), which could be felt in a close game
- High-scoring history of the venue: With an average of 3.6 goals per game at the Stade de Genève, an unpredictable, high-scoring match is possible
Overview
Servette (8th place, 25 points) hosts league leaders Thun (1st place, 49 points) at the Stade de Genève. The Super League match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 2:00 PM. It's a clash between a mid-table team and the clear front-runner.
Form
Servette: DLDWD - 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 games
Thun: WWWWW - 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 games
The form clearly favors the visitors, who are on a perfect winning streak
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Thun has the stronger offense with an average of 2.18 goals per game compared to Servette's 1.73. Defensively, Thun is also superior, conceding only 1.18 goals per game, while Servette has conceded 1.95. Particularly striking is Servette's defensive weakness at home (averaging 2.1 goals conceded per game), while Thun is very prolific away (2.18 goals per game). 15 of Servette's 22 games had over 2.5 goals, while for Thun it was 17 of 22.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Servette and 3 for Thun, with a goal difference of 6:10. The last encounter was won by Thun 1-0. Thun has been dominant in recent meetings.
Key Players
For Servette, Jérémy Guillemenot is in strong form with 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, while Florian Ayé is the top scorer with 8 seasonal goals. Miroslav Stevanovic is also a key player with 6 goals and 4 assists. For Thun, Elmin Rastoder stands out with 5 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games. Leonardo Bertone has already scored 7 goals this season.
Goalkeepers
Servette's goalkeeper Joël Mall has kept 3 clean sheets in 18 appearances. Niklas Steffen of Thun has 4 clean sheets in 22 seasonal games. The records of both goalkeepers are on a similar level.
Influences
The statistics at the Stade de Genève show high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per game and a 60% rate for "Both teams to score". Servette has a negative home record on grass with only 2 wins in 10 matches. In contrast, Thun has won all of their 9 away games on grass, with an impressive goal difference of 21:6.