Bundesliga
Elversberg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
08/29/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
3.0
4.1
1.1
2:1
8%3:1
8%3:0
7%4:1
6%4:0
5%The Lab
- 1Bayer 04 Leverkusen: dropped a lead in 6 of 10 games (14 points lost)
- 2Bayer 04 Leverkusen: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)
- 3Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 7 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
74%
Draw
15%
Away Win
11%
Goals
Over 1.5
92%
Under 1.5
8%
Over 2.5
78%
Under 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
59%
Under 3.5
41%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
89%
Away or Draw
26%
No Draw
85%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- High mathematical home win probability of 74% and 3.0 predicted home goals for Elversberg
- Leverkusen's defensive vulnerability in away matches with an average of 1.87 goals conceded
- Leverkusen averaged a strong 7.0 shots on target per match in recent games
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability for Elversberg due to missing form and seasonal statistics in the dataset
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen concedes an average of 1.87 goals per away game
- Only 74% of Leverkusen's attacking threat available due to the absence of Alejandro Grimaldo and Nathan Tella
Overview
Elversberg face Bayer 04 Leverkusen at the URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Bundesliga match on August 29, 2026, 3:30 PM
The home team is heavily favored according to mathematical predictions
Form
No recent form data is available for Elversberg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has a mixed recent record with the form sequence LWWLD
Leverkusen recently recorded an away win at Köln and an away loss at Stuttgart
Statistics
No seasonal statistics are available for Elversberg
Leverkusen averaged 2.0 goals scored per game last season and conceded 1.87 goals per away game
Away matches for Leverkusen frequently feature high-scoring results
Head-to-Head
There has been one head-to-head encounter between the teams
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won the last match 3-0 away on October 29, 2024
Key Players
For Leverkusen, forward Patrik Schick (16 goals) and midfielder Aleix García (3 goals, 8 assists) are key
Malik Tillman is also important with 6 season goals
Not in the squad: Alejandro Grimaldo, Nathan Tella, Jarell Quansah, and Robert Andrich
Goalkeepers
Nicolas Kristof starts in goal for Elversberg
Mark Flekken is in goal for Leverkusen with 24 season appearances and a declining form trend
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at the URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
The mathematical model predicts a home win with a 74% probability
Over 2.5 goals is calculated at a 78% probability