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Bundesliga

FC Augsburg - Schalke 04

08/30/2026, 03:30 PM

3 : 0
Expected Goals
FC Augsburg
1.9
Total xG
3.2
Schalke 04
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    FC Augsburg with Michael Gregoritsch starting: 1.5 goals/game, without him: 1 (12/12 games, last 30)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

25%

Away Win

26%

Goals

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

74%

Away or Draw

51%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

64%

No

36%

Key Factors
  • Augsburg is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 1.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.36
  • The home team played counter-oriented recently and averaged 5.2 shots on target per game
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 49%
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability for the season statistics and player form of Schalke 04
  • Augsburg is missing Alexis Claude-Maurice and Dimitrios Giannoulis, resulting in a 21% loss of lineup strength
Overview

FC Augsburg (10th place, 0 points) host Schalke 04 (11th place, 0 points) at the WWK Arena

First Bundesliga match of the season for both teams

Kick-off on August 30, 2026, 5:30 PM

Form

Augsburg's form across all competitions is WDWWL

Recently the home team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

FC Augsburg scored an average of 1.32 goals per game last season and conceded an average of 1.79 goals

In home games, the hosts scored an average of 1.32 goals and conceded 1.47 goals

The WWK Arena saw an average of 3.8 goals per match recently

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches

Head-to-Head

1 head-to-head match in the dataset

FC Augsburg won this encounter 3-0

The last match took place on October 29, 2024

Key Players

Fabian Rieder scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists in 32 season appearances

Michael Gregoritsch recorded 6 goals and 2 assists in 17 matches

Anton Kade scored 6 goals this season and showed a rising trend with an average rating of 7.47 in the last 5 matches

Goalkeepers

Finn Dahmen kept 5 clean sheets in 34 appearances last season for Augsburg

Loris Karius is named in the lineup for the visitors

Influences

The WWK Arena averaged 3.8 goals per match over the last 5 games

The match will be played on natural grass

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