Match report →
FC Augsburg – Schalke 043 : 0
Why the model thinks so
FC Augsburg
1.88
Total xG
3.22
Schalke 04
1.34
Expected goals from our model, before kickoff
Key factors
- Augsburg is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 1.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.36
- The home team played counter-oriented recently and averaged 5.2 shots on target per game
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 49%
Risks
- Limited data availability for the season statistics and player form of Schalke 04
- Augsburg is missing Alexis Claude-Maurice and Dimitrios Giannoulis, resulting in a 21% loss of lineup strength
All probabilities
Result
FC Augsburg49%
Draw25%
Schalke 0426%
Goals
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Over 3.540%
Under 3.560%
Double chance
FC Augsburg or draw74%
Schalke 04 or draw51%
No draw75%
Both teams score
Yes64%
No36%
Most likely scores
1:1
11%
2:1
9%
2:0
7%
1:2
7%
2:2
6%
3:0
Final score
The Lab
Patterns our system found in the data.
- FC Augsburg with Michael Gregoritsch starting: 1.5 goals/game, without him: 1 (12/12 games, last 30)
Lineups
FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1 · Schalke 04 3-4-2-1
FC Augsburg
- 1 F. Dahmen
- 40 N. Banks
- 5 C. Matsima
- 2 C. Brackelmann
- 27 M. Wolf
- 4 H. Massengo
- 32 F. Rieder
- 16 H. Behrens
- 30 A. Kade
- 19 R. Fellhauer
- 11 M. Gregoritsch
Schalke 04
- 1 L. Karius
- 5 T. Becker
- 25 N. Katić
- 4 H. Kuruçay
- 21 D. Ljubicic
- 23 S. El-Faouzi
- 6 R. Schallenberg
- 33 V. Becker
- 20 J. Chikwubuike Adamu
- 24 A. Aouchiche
- 9 M. Sylla
Substitutes
- 10 M. Kömür
- 14 Y. Keitel
- 6 J. Gouweleeuw
- 22 N. Labrović
- 9 R. Duarte Ribeiro
- 7 Seol Young-Woo
- 37 T. Schnitzer
- 39 U. Ogundu
- 34 N. Mbuku
- 39 M. Wöber
- 22 K. Müller
- 29 E. Dina Ebimbe
- 10 E. Džeko
- 8 R. Gosens
- 13 S. Tanaka
- 14 J. Bachmann
- 43 M. Ayhan
- 38 L. Vozar
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