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Bundesliga

FC Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt

08/29/2026, 01:30 PM

3 : 3
Expected Goals
FC Union Berlin
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
FUBEF

FC Union Berlin

Attack weakness (0.33x league average)
-4.46
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.2 goals/match)
+0.25
Rising form (2.2 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.25
Andrej Ilic not in squad (5 goals, 10 assists)
Oliver Burke not in squad (6 goals, 2 assists)
Ilyas Ansah not in squad (5 goals, 2 assists)
Danilho Doekhi not in squad (5 goals, 0 assists)
Christopher Trimmel on the bench (0 goals, 3 assists)
46% of goal output missing (only 43% available)

Eintracht Frankfurt

Defensive strength (2.2 conceded vs 1 league avg)
+1.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.11
Declining form (1.4 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.11
Nathaniel Brown not in squad (4 goals, 5 assists)
Arnaud Kalimuendo not in squad (6 goals, 1 assists)
Hugo Larsson not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
Oscar Højlund on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
11% of goal output missing (only 90% available)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.8 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (6 goals/match)
+3.50
+3.50
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Eintracht Frankfurt: 7 of 17 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Jonathan Burkardt: 5 of 5 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)

  • 3
    FC Union Berlin: 6 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against FSV Mainz 05: 2 goals (88', 90+1')

  • 4
    Eintracht Frankfurt: scored only after the break in 7 of 12 games

  • 5
    FC Union Berlin: scored only in H2 in 5 consecutive games (6 of 12 total)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

27%

Away Win

24%

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

76%

Away or Draw

51%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

56%

No

44%

Key Factors
  • Weakened home squad: Only 43% of the regular starting threat available, as Andrej Ilic, Oliver Burke, Ilyas Ansah, Danilho Doekhi, and Christopher Trimmel are missing
  • Attacking intent: Both teams averaged a strong 5.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • Form trend: FC Union Berlin currently scores more frequently, averaging 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
Risk Factors
  • Away defensive weakness: Eintracht Frankfurt concedes an average of 2.11 goals per away match this season
  • Stagnating attack: Eintracht Frankfurt's goal production has slowed down to 1.4 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.8
Overview

FC Union Berlin host Eintracht Frankfurt at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Bundesliga match on August 29, 2026, 3:30 PM

Both teams start this fixture with zero points in the standings

The hosts are considered favorites with a 49% win probability according to the model

Form

FC Union Berlin show the form LLDWW with two consecutive wins recently

Eintracht Frankfurt register the form LDLLD and are winless in five games

The home team displays a rising trend in recent matches

Form code explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

FC Union Berlin scored an average of 1.29 goals per game and conceded 1.71 last season

Eintracht Frankfurt averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.91 goals conceded

The visitors show a high count of 23 matches with over 2.5 goals

In Berlin's games, both teams scored in 21 out of 34 matches

Head-to-Head

In 4 head-to-head matches, Berlin got 2 wins and 2 draws

The goal difference stands at 8:6 in favor of FC Union Berlin

The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on February 6, 2026

Key Players

András Schäfer has registered 2 goals and 1 assist this season

Rani Khedira contributed 5 goals and 1 assist this term

Tom Rothe has scored 2 goals so far

Jonathan Burkardt shines with 13 goals and 1 assist

Can Uzun records a strong tally of 8 goals and 6 assists

Farès Chaïbi regularly creates opportunities with 9 assists and 2 goals

Goalkeepers

Matheo Raab guards the goal for FC Union Berlin

Noah Atubolu is the starting goalkeeper for Eintracht Frankfurt

Berlin secured 7 clean sheets over the entire season

Eintracht Frankfurt also recorded 7 clean sheets in their campaign

Influences

The home advantage is balanced with 26 home goals scored and 26 conceded by Berlin

Stadium statistics point to high-scoring games with an average of 3.6 goals per match

The match will be played on natural grass at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei

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