Bundesliga
Schalke 04 - Elversberg
09/20/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.0
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Schalke 04
Elversberg
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
26%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Home advantage for Schalke: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 52%
- Tactical focus: Both teams play a counter-oriented style with Schalke averaging 34% and Elversberg 37% possession
- Offensive threat: Elversberg averages 2.67 goals scored per game
Risk Factors
- Defensive vulnerability: Elversberg concedes an average of 2.33 goals per match
- Limited data availability on player statistics
- First home game for Schalke: No home record established yet this season
Overview
Schalke 04 (11th place, 4 points) faces Elversberg (8th place, 6 points)
Bundesliga match on September 20, 2026, 5:30 PM at the Veltins-Arena
Both teams aim to establish themselves in the mid-table
Form
Schalke 04 has a form of LDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Recently they won 3-1 against FC Union Berlin
Elversberg enters with a form of WWL
The visitors lost their last match 1-2 against FC Bayern München
Statistics
Schalke averages 1 goal scored and 1.33 goals conceded per game
The Royal Blues play their first home game of the season
Elversberg averages 2.67 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded
The visitors showed high offensive output with 8 goals in 3 matches
Goalkeepers
Loris Karius starts in goal for Schalke and kept 1 clean sheet so far
Nicolas Kristof guards the goal for Elversberg and still waits for his first clean sheet
Influences
The match is played on natural grass at the Veltins-Arena
The only previous match at this venue ended goalless