Super League
St. Gallen - Young Boys
02/11/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.3
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Key Factors
- Young Boys' massive defensive weakness away from home (3.1 goals conceded per game) meets St. Gallen's home strength (2.0 goals scored per game)
- St. Gallen is in better form (WWLDD) than Young Boys, who have lost three of their last five games (LLLWD)
- The mathematical analysis favors St. Gallen with a 42% win probability and predicts a high-scoring game (64% for Over 2.5 goals)
Risk Factors
- St. Gallen has had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Young Boys have dominated recent head-to-head encounters, including a clear 4-1 victory in the last match at this venue
- Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, which can make the game unpredictable (BTTS probability of 66%)
Overview
St. Gallen (3rd place, 39 points) hosts Young Boys (6th place, 33 points) at Kybunpark
Super League match on February 11, 2026, 8:30 PM
The home team aims to solidify their position in the top group, while the visitors need to keep pace for the European spots
Form
St. Gallen form (all competitions): WWLDD
In the last 5 matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Young Boys form (all competitions): LLLWD
The visitors have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, with 1 draw and 3 losses
In the league, St. Gallen's form is WWWLW, while Young Boys' is WDLDW
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Both teams have strong attacks: St. Gallen scores an average of 1.95 goals per game, Young Boys 1.91
Defensively, St. Gallen (1.32 goals conceded/game) is more stable than Young Boys (2.0 goals conceded/game)
A glaring weakness for Young Boys is their away defense, conceding an average of 3.1 goals per away match
St. Gallen is strong at home, scoring an average of 2.0 goals while conceding only 1.36 at Kybunpark
In 80% of St. Gallen's last 5 home matches, there were over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, St. Gallen won 2 times, and Young Boys won 3 times
The goal difference is nearly balanced at 8:9 from St. Gallen's perspective
The last meeting was won by Young Boys with a 4-1 score away from home
Despite Young Boys' recent dominance in H2H duels, the overall record is tight
Key Players
Alessandro Vogt is St. Gallen's top scorer with 10 goals this season
Carlo Boukhalfa (8 goals) and Aliou Baldé (7 goals) are also significant goal threats
Lukas Görtler has contributed with 4 goals and 6 assists
For Young Boys, Christian Fassnacht is the key player with 12 goals and 6 assists
Edimilson Fernandes (4 assists) and Alan Virginius (5 assists) are also important creators
Goalkeepers
St. Gallen's Lawrence Ati Zigi has kept 6 clean sheets in 19 appearances this season
Marvin Keller has been in goal for Young Boys in 23 matches, keeping 5 clean sheets
Statistically, Keller (2.0 goals conceded/game) concedes significantly more than Ati Zigi (1.32 goals conceded/game)
Influences
St. Gallen's home advantage is statistically clear (2.0 goals scored vs. 1.36 conceded per home game)
Kybunpark is a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 80% of these games
The extreme away weakness of Young Boys (average of 3.1 goals conceded) could be decisive