Ligue 1
Paris - Angers SCO
01/25/2026, 04:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.6
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
33%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
31%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Matchup advantage for Paris: Paris's offense (1.33 home goals/game) meets Angers' extremely vulnerable away defense (2.6 goals conceded/game)
- Contrasting form trends: Paris's attack is faltering (1.0 goals average recently), while Angers has been much more clinical lately (1.8 goals average)
- Tactical difference: Paris has a low conversion rate with only 2.4 shots on target per game, whereas Angers plays more directly with 4.8 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Extremely balanced prediction: The expected goals (1.29 vs. 1.28) suggest a very unpredictable outcome
- Unknown factor of artificial turf: Angers SCO has no recorded season data on this surface, which could be a disadvantage
Overview
Paris (14th place, 19 points) hosts Angers SCO (12th place, 22 points) at the Stade Jean Bouin. The Ligue 1 match takes place on January 25, 2026, at 5:15 PM. This is a clash in the bottom third of the table, with both teams looking to secure crucial points against relegation.
Form
Paris Form: DDLLW (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Last result: W
Angers SCO Form: LWWLL (2 wins, 3 losses). Last result: L
Paris recently secured a win after a winless streak, while Angers SCO has suffered two consecutive losses after two wins. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Paris scores an average of 1.33 goals per game this season but also concedes 1.78. Angers SCO is more defensively stable with 1.39 goals conceded per game but scores only 1.11 goals. Particularly striking is Angers' away weakness, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game. In 11 of 18 Paris matches, there were over 2.5 goals. At Stade Jean Bouin, the goal average is 3.0 per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of the matches.
Head-to-Head
In the only encounter this season, Angers SCO won 1-0 against Paris. In total, 1 goal was scored for Angers SCO and 0 for Paris in this fixture. There is no significant historical dominance due to the low number of matches.
Key Players
For Paris, Ilan Kebbal is the key offensive player with 7 season goals and 4 assists. Jean-Philippe Krasso has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists. For Angers SCO, Sidiki Chérif is the top scorer with 4 season goals. In midfield, Yassin Belkhdim is an important figure with 2 goals and 2 assists. Himad Abdelli is showing rising form with a rating of 7.17 in his last five games.
Goalkeepers
Kevin Trapp of Paris has conceded 3 goals per game this season and has an average rating of 6.64. In contrast, Hervé Koffi of Angers SCO has a significantly higher average rating of 7.28. Paris has kept 3 clean sheets this season, while Angers SCO has 5.
Influences
The Stade Jean Bouin is a venue for goals, with an average of 3.0 goals per game in recent matches. The surface is artificial turf. Paris has a negative record on this surface with only 2 wins from 8 games. There is no data for Angers SCO on artificial turf, which is an uncertainty factor.