Super League
Thun - Lausanne Sport
02/12/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.2
1.2
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:0
7%3:1
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
25%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Superior form vs. form crisis: Thun comes with a five-game winning streak, while Lausanne Sport has lost four of their last five league games
- Home and artificial turf advantage: Thun is strong at home and proven on artificial turf, while Lausanne is still winless on this surface this season
- Offensive dominance: With an average of 2.22 goals per game, Thun has one of the best offenses in the league; the mathematical forecast expects 1.95 goals for the home team
Risk Factors
- Last encounter: Lausanne Sport won the last head-to-head match, which could give them confidence
- Short recovery time: Both teams had only four days of rest since their last game, which could lead to fatigue
- Missing goal threat for visitors: Lausanne must do without Theo Bair (6 season goals), meaning about 32% of their usual goal threat is missing
Overview
Thun (1st place, 52 points) hosts Lausanne Sport (7th place, 29 points) at the Stockhorn Arena
Super League match on February 12, 2026, 8:30 PM
The league leader enters the match as the clear favorite, aiming to extend their lead at the top
The mathematical analysis supports this with a 53% win probability for Thun
Form
Clear imbalance in form between the teams
Thun is in outstanding shape with five wins from their last five matches (Form: WWWWW)
Lausanne Sport has been inconsistent with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games across all competitions (Form: WWDLD)
In the league, Lausanne's form is significantly weaker with four losses in their last five matches (WLLLL)
Statistics
Thun has the far more dangerous attack
The home team scores an average of 2.22 goals per game, while Lausanne Sport averages 1.48 goals
Defensively, Lausanne is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.62 goals
Matches at the Stockhorn Arena are often high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals in Thun's last five home games
Head-to-Head
The historical comparison favors Thun
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there have been 3 wins for Thun, 1 win for Lausanne Sport, and 1 draw
The goal difference is 9:4 in favor of Thun
However, Lausanne Sport won the most recent meeting 2:1
Key Players
Elmin Rastoder (8 season goals, 4 assists)
Leonardo Bertone (7 season goals, 1 assist)
Kastriot Imeri (4 season goals, 5 assists)
Gaoussou Diakité (6 season goals, 4 assists)
Beyatt Lekoueiry (4 season goals, 1 assist)
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji (3 season goals, 3 assists)
Goalkeepers
Niklas Steffen (Thun) has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Karlo Letica (Lausanne Sport) has 5 clean sheets
Both goalkeepers have a similar record regarding clean sheets
Influences
Thun's home advantage is amplified by the playing surface
Thun is very strong on their home artificial turf (6 wins from 10 matches)
Lausanne Sport has not won a game on artificial turf this season (1 draw, 1 loss)
The Stockhorn Arena is known for high-scoring games (3.8 goals on average in recent matches)