Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais - LOSC Lille
02/01/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.4
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
78%
Over 3.5
40%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Drastic form disparity: Lyon's perfect winning streak (WWWWW) meets Lille's catastrophic form with four losses in the last five games
- Fortress Groupama Stadium: Lyon is extremely strong defensively at home (only 0.7 goals conceded per game), while Lille is very vulnerable away (1.89 goals conceded per game)
- Offensive firepower: According to advanced stats, Lyon has been more dangerous in front of goal recently than their season average and has a dominant, high-shot-volume style (7.4 shots on target per game)
Risk Factors
- Mid-week fixture congestion: Both teams have had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Notable absences for Lyon: The absence of experienced players like Corentin Tolisso and NicolĂĄs Tagliafico could impact defensive stability
Overview
Olympique Lyonnais (4th place, 36 points) hosts LOSC Lille (5th place, 32 points) at the Groupama Stadium
This top-tier Ligue 1 match takes place on February 1, 2026, 3:00 PM
Both teams are fighting for European spots, separated by only four points
Form
The form curves are contrasting
Olympique Lyonnais: WWWWW - 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last five games
The team is on a 5-game winning streak
LOSC Lille: LLLLW - 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses from the last five matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Lille scores slightly more with 1.79 goals per game compared to Lyon's 1.68
Defensively, however, Lyon is significantly more stable, conceding only 1.05 goals per game compared to Lille's 1.53
Lyon is particularly strong at home, conceding only 0.7 goals on average
Lille is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.89 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympique Lyonnais has the upper hand with 3 wins
LOSC Lille won 1 match, and 1 game ended in a draw
The goal difference is 8:7 in favor of Lyon
Lyon won the last encounter
Key Players
For Olympique Lyonnais, Pavel Sulc is a key player with 8 season goals and is in rising form
Endrick has scored 3 goals in just 2 appearances
For LOSC Lille, HĂ„kon Arnar Haraldsson is a crucial factor with 5 season goals, while Olivier Giroud has contributed 4 goals
Goalkeepers
Lyon's Dominik Greif has kept 9 clean sheets in 15 appearances this season
Lille's Berke Ăzer has 5 clean sheets in 17 matches
Influences
The Groupama Stadium is a stronghold for Lyon
Venue statistics suggest high-scoring games, with an average of 3.2 goals per match and an 80% over 2.5 rate
Lyon has a strong record on natural grass with 8 wins from 10 games