Super League
Luzern - Grasshopper
02/10/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.9
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
26%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
38%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
72%
No
28%
Key Factors
- Offensive matchup: Luzern's significantly stronger goal production (1.74) meets Grasshopper's weak away defense (2.44 goals conceded)
- Historical dominance: 3 out of 4 wins for Luzern, latest a 6:0 thrashing - Grasshopper under mental pressure
- Stadium factor: Sportplatz Chrüzmatt guarantees spectacle with 4.4 goals per game and 100% over 2.5 rate
Risk Factors
- Key absences weaken both teams: Luzern lose 17.5% of goal production through Kevin Spadanuda, Grasshopper play without top scorer Jonathan Asp Jensen
- Unpredictable form: Both teams in drawing spiral without clear tendency - result hard to predict
Overview
Luzern (10th place, 24 points) host Grasshopper (11th place, 20 points) at Sportplatz Chrüzmatt
Super League match on February 10, 2026, 8:30 PM
Lower table clash - both teams fighting against relegation
Form
Luzern: WLDDD - 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss
Grasshopper: LLDDD - 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
Both teams currently on 3-game drawing streaks
Luzern showing better form with only one defeat in five games
Statistics
Luzern stronger offensively averaging 1.74 goals per game vs Grasshopper's 1.30
Both defensively vulnerable - Luzern concede 1.87, Grasshopper 1.78 per game
Grasshopper extremely weak away averaging 2.44 goals conceded per game
Luzern scored over 2.5 goals in 17 of 23 games, Grasshopper in 12 of 23
Head-to-Head
5 head-to-head matches - Luzern dominate with 3 wins to Grasshopper's 1
Goal ratio 14:7 clearly in Luzern's favour
Last encounter: 6:0 thrashing for Luzern on November 2, 2025
Luzern very strong at home against Grasshopper
Key Players
Matteo Di Giusto leads Luzern's attack with 7 goals and 9 assists
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira and Lars Villiger important as additional attacking threats
For Grasshopper, Jonathan Asp Jensen is the key player with 7 goals and 5 assists
Luke Plange complements with 6 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Pascal Loretz kept goal 23 times for Luzern with 4 clean sheets
Justin Hammel stood between the posts 23 times for Grasshopper - only 2 clean sheets
Both goalkeepers face difficult tasks against the offensive-minded opponents
Influences
Sportplatz Chrüzmatt developed into a goal guarantee - avg 4.4 goals in last 5 home games
100% BTTS rate and 100% over 2.5 rate at the venue
Both teams weak on grass - Luzern 1-4-5 at home, Grasshopper 1-3-6 away
Home advantage for Luzern with 22 home goals against 24 conceded