Ligue 1
Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain
02/01/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.3
1.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
43%
Draw
28%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
78%
Over 3.5
48%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
57%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
72%
No
28%
Key Factors
- Strasbourg's strong home defense (0.5 goals conceded/game) meets PSG's potent away attack (2.11 goals scored/game)
- Current form trends: Strasbourg is currently scoring more frequently (2.5 goals/game) than their season average (1.8), while PSG's offense is faltering (1.6 vs 2.4)
- Both teams are compensating for their absences well, with 100% of their goal production available on the pitch
Risk Factors
- PSG's offense has recently declined, scoring less frequently than their season average
- Potential fatigue for PSG, as their last match was only 4 days ago, while Strasbourg had 7 days of rest
Overview
Strasbourg, in 7th place in the table with 30 points, hosts Paris Saint Germain, who are in 2nd place with 45 points
The Ligue 1 match will take place on February 1, 2026, at 8:45 PM at the Stade de la Meinau
It is a duel between an upper mid-table team and a title contender
Form
Strasbourg form: DWDWW
In the last 5 matches, there have been 3 wins and 2 draws
The team is unbeaten in 5 games
Paris Saint Germain form: WWLWD
The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, with one loss and one draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Paris Saint Germain is offensively stronger with a season average of 2.16 goals per game compared to Strasbourg's 1.68
Strasbourg is very stable defensively at home, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per game
Paris Saint Germain concedes an average of 1.22 goals away from home
At the Stade de la Meinau, the goal average is 2.6 per game, and both teams scored in 80% of the matches
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head encounters, Paris Saint Germain has won 3 times, while Strasbourg has recorded 1 victory and 1 match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 13:8 in favor of Paris Saint Germain
The last meeting ended in a 3:3 draw
Key Players
For Strasbourg, JoaquĂn Panichelli is the top scorer with 11 season goals, supported by Martial Godo with 5 goals
Julio Enciso has drawn attention recently with 2 goals and 3 assists in his last five games
For Paris Saint Germain, Bradley Barcola with 7 season goals and Ousmane Dembélé with 5 goals are the most dangerous attackers
Vitinha is the team's main playmaker with 7 assists this season
Goalkeepers
In goal for Strasbourg is Mike Penders; the team has kept 7 clean sheets this season
For Paris Saint Germain, Matvey Safonov starts; his team has kept a clean sheet 10 times so far
Influences
Strasbourg is particularly strong at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding only 0.5
The statistics of the Stade de la Meinau suggest a high-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches
Both teams have a positive record on natural grass surfaces