Ligue 1
Angers SCO - Metz
02/01/2026, 04:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.4
1.0
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
43%
Draw
29%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
57%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Defensive Mismatch: Metz's catastrophic away defense (2.73 goals conceded per game) meets Angers' solid home defense (0.92)
- Form Discrepancy: Metz is winless in five games (LLDLL), while Angers has a better starting position with the form WWLLD
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Angers is significantly more stable at home, while Metz regularly concedes many goals on the road
Risk Factors
- Angers' attacking absences: Despite compensation, players responsible for 35% of the season's goals are missing, which could affect their finishing
- Recent attacking trend: According to advanced stats, both teams have been scoring more recently than their season average, which could lead to an unexpectedly open game
Overview
Angers SCO, in 11th place in the table with 23 points, host Metz, who are in 18th place with 12 points, at the Stade Raymond Kopa
This Ligue 1 match takes place on February 1, 2026, at 5:15 PM
For Angers, the goal is to solidify their mid-table position, while Metz desperately needs points in the relegation battle
Form
Angers SCO form: WWLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last five games, there have been 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Metz form: LLDLL
Metz has failed to win any of their last five games, with 1 draw and 4 losses
The form curve is clearly against the visitors
Statistics
Offensively, both teams are almost level, with Angers scoring 1.05 goals per game and Metz 1.11
The crucial difference is in defense: Angers concedes an average of 1.32 goals, while Metz has one of the weakest defenses in the league with 2.37 goals conceded per game
Metz is particularly vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.73 goals per game
Angers is defensively solid at home, conceding only 0.92 goals per game
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, the record is balanced
Angers SCO won 2 times, Metz won 1 time, and 2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is 6:5 in favor of Angers
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
Sidiki Chérif has scored 4 goals for Angers this season
Yassin Belkhdim has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists
For Metz, Gauthier Hein is the standout player with 6 goals and 4 assists
Habib Diallo has scored 4 goals this season and is showing rising form
Goalkeepers
In goal for Angers SCO is Hervé Koffi, who has kept 6 clean sheets this season
For Metz, Jonathan Fischer is the goalkeeper, he has achieved 3 clean sheets
Influences
The home advantage for Angers is statistically significant, as they concede an average of only 0.92 goals at home
Metz is extremely weak away, conceding an average of 2.73 goals
The Stade Raymond Kopa is also a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals in recent matches