Ligue 1
Nice - Monaco
02/08/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.0
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
28%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
38%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
81%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Critical absences for Monaco: The visitors are missing key offensive players like Ansu Fati and Folarin Balogun, leaving only 50% of their goal-scoring threat available
- Defensive vulnerability of both teams: Nice concedes an average of 1.9 goals per game, while Monaco is particularly weak away (2.5 goals conceded), suggesting a high-scoring match
- Upward trend for Nice: Despite their league position, Nice has recently scored significantly more goals (1.8 per game) than their season average (1.2 per game)
Risk Factors
- Nice's weakened offense: The home team is also weakened by the absence of key players like Mohamed-Ali Cho, with only 56% of their normal goal-scoring threat available
- Unpredictability of both teams: Both recent form and the head-to-head record are very inconsistent and balanced, making a clear prediction difficult
Overview
Nice (13th place, 22 points) host Monaco (10th place, 27 points) at the Allianz Riviera. The Ligue 1 match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 3:00 PM. It's a mid-table clash where both teams will be looking to improve their standing.
Form
Nice form: LWWLD – 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Monaco form: LLDDW – 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses
Both teams show mixed form, with Nice having collected slightly more points in the last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Offensively, Monaco is slightly more dangerous with an average of 1.6 goals per game compared to Nice's 1.35
Defensively, both teams are vulnerable, with Nice conceding 1.9 goals and Monaco 1.65 goals per game on average
Particularly noteworthy is Monaco's defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away match
At Nice's stadium, an average of 2.4 goals are scored per game, and both teams score in 60% of the cases
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, the record is perfectly balanced
Both teams have won 2 matches each, with one draw
The goal difference is also identical at 8:8
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
Key Players
For Nice, Sofiane Diop (7 season goals, 3 assists) and Elye Wahi (3 season goals) are the main goal threats
Defender Jonathan Clauss has already contributed 4 assists
At Monaco, Maghnes Akliouche (4 goals, 2 assists) and Mamadou Coulibaly (3 goals, 1 assist) are important offensive players
Aleksandr Golovin is a central figure in midfield with 2 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Nice's goalkeeper is Maxime Dupé. The team has kept 2 clean sheets this season
Philipp Köhn is expected in goal for Monaco. Monaco has managed to keep 4 clean sheets this season
Influences
Recent games at the Allianz Riviera have been high-scoring with an average of 2.4 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of matches
Nice has a poor home record on natural grass this season with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses
Monaco has an away record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses on this surface