Ligue 1
Metz - LOSC Lille
02/06/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.5
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
25%
Draw
30%
Away Win
45%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
25%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
55%
Away or Draw
75%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Metz's defensive weakness: The hosts have the worst defense in the league with 46 goals conceded, a major disadvantage against Lille's attack
- Drastic difference in form: Although both teams are struggling, Metz's crisis is much deeper with no wins in their last games (LDLLL) compared to Lille
- Lille's historical dominance: The visitors are unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head matches and won the last encounter 6-1
Risk Factors
- Lille's struggling offense: Despite being favorites, Lille has only scored 0.6 goals per game in recent matches, well below their season average of 1.6
- Extensive injury list: Lille has a long list of sidelined players, including key figures like N. Bentaleb and E. Mbappé, which could affect their squad depth
Overview
Metz, in 18th place in the table with 12 points, hosts LOSC Lille, 5th with 32 points, at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. The Ligue 1 match takes place on February 6, 2026, at 8:45 PM. For Metz, it's about crucial points in the relegation battle, while Lille aims to solidify its position in the top third of the table.
Form
Metz (Form: LDLLL) has not secured a victory in their last five matches, with one draw and four losses. LOSC Lille (Form: LLLWL) has managed only one win in their last five games, losing four. Both teams are in a crisis of form. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
LOSC Lille is significantly more dangerous offensively, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Metz's 1.05. Defensively, Lille is also more stable with 1.5 goals conceded per game, while Metz has the league's worst defense, conceding 2.3 goals. Away from home, Lille scores an average of 1.7 goals, while Metz averages only 1 goal at home.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Metz has failed to win. LOSC Lille won three of these matches, while two ended in a draw. The goal difference of 13:5 is clearly in favor of the visitors. The last meeting ended in a decisive 6-1 victory for Lille.
Key Players
For Metz, Gauthier Hein (6 season goals, 4 assists) and Habib Diallo (4 season goals) are the key figures in attack. For LOSC Lille, Håkon Arnar Haraldsson with 5 season goals and Olivier Giroud with 4 goals are the most important forwards.
Goalkeepers
Metz's goalkeeper Jonathan Fischer has kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches. Berke Özer of LOSC Lille has kept 5 clean sheets in 18 appearances.
Influences
The Stade Saint-Symphorien has recently been a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match and a 60% rate for Over 2.5 goals. On natural grass, Metz has a home record of 3 wins and 7 losses this season. LOSC Lille has a balanced away record on this surface with 5 wins and 5 losses.