Ligue 1
Nantes - Olympique Lyonnais
02/07/2026, 08:05 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
3.0
1.9
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
22%
Draw
21%
Away Win
57%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
39%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
43%
Away or Draw
78%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Massive form gap: Lyon arrives with five consecutive wins, while Nantes has lost four of their last five matches
- Statistical superiority: Lyon is superior in all areas, both offensively (1.65 goals/game vs. 0.95) and defensively (1.0 goals conceded/game vs. 1.8)
- Historical dominance & Surface: Lyon has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches and is undefeated away on natural grass, while Nantes struggles significantly at home on the same surface
Risk Factors
- Home goal risk: Nantes' stadium is known for goals (80% BTTS rate), suggesting Nantes might score despite their poor form
- Potential complacency: As clear favorites on a winning streak, Lyon might underestimate an opponent in a relegation battle
- Tactical aspect: Lyon is dominant in possession, which could open up counter-attacking opportunities for Nantes if Lyon's defense is unfocused
Overview
Nantes, in 16th place with 14 points, hosts Olympique Lyonnais, 4th with 39 points, at the Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The Ligue 1 match takes place on February 7, 2026, at 9:05 PM. For Nantes, it's about crucial points in the relegation battle, while Lyon aims to keep pace with the top of the table.
Form
The form curves of the two teams could hardly be more different
Nantes has a form of LWLLL, which corresponds to one win and four losses in their last five games
Olympique Lyonnais arrives with a perfect record of WWWWW, having won their last five matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
The season statistics show a clear superiority of Olympique Lyonnais
Lyon scores an average of 1.65 goals per game, while Nantes only manages 0.95
Defensively, Lyon is also more stable with an average of 1.0 goal conceded, compared to 1.8 for Nantes
Lyon has kept 10 clean sheets, while Nantes has only managed 3
At the Stade de la Beaujoire, there's an average of 3.0 goals per game, and in 80% of cases, both teams scored.
Head-to-Head
In direct comparison, Olympique Lyonnais clearly dominates
In the last five encounters, there were four wins for Lyon and one draw
Nantes has not won a single match
The goal difference of 10:2 in favor of Lyon underscores this superiority
The last duel ended in a 3-0 victory for Lyon.
Key Players
For Nantes, Matthis Abline is a key offensive player with 4 goals and 2 assists
Mostafa Mohamed has also contributed with 3 season goals
For Lyon, Pavel Sulc is the top scorer with 8 season goals
Afonso Moreira has provided 5 assists as a playmaker, while Endrick has recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in just 3 games.
Goalkeepers
In goal for Nantes is Anthony Lopes, who has kept 3 clean sheets this season
For Lyon, Dominik Greif is expected; his team has already kept a clean sheet 10 times this season.
Influences
Nantes has a very poor record on natural grass with only one win and seven losses
Olympique Lyonnais, on the other hand, is undefeated in 10 games on this surface (9 wins, 1 draw)
The Stade de la Beaujoire is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 goals per match and an 80% rate for both teams to score.