Ligue 1
Lens - Rennes
02/07/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.2
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
27%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Defensive Gulf: Lens' rock-solid home defense (0.36 goals conceded/game) meets Rennes' extremely vulnerable away defense (2.86 goals conceded/game)
- Clear Form Advantage: Lens has won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Rennes has shown inconsistent performance in recent games
- Home Fortress: Lens is a force at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis, having won 8 of their 11 home matches this season
Risk Factors
- Historical Head-to-Head: Four of the last five meetings between these teams ended in a draw, which could suggest a tighter game than anticipated
- Low-Scoring Venue: The last five games at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis have averaged very few goals (1.6) and had zero instances of both teams scoring, conflicting with a high-scoring prediction
Overview
A top-tier Ligue 1 clash takes place at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis as Lens (2nd place, 46 points) hosts Rennes (6th place, 31 points)
The match is scheduled for February 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM
Lens aims to maintain pressure at the top of the table, while Rennes is fighting to secure a spot in European competition
Form
Lens is in strong form with a record of LWWLW from their last five matches, translating to 4 wins and 1 loss
Rennes, on the other hand, shows inconsistent form with WLDWD, which amounts to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The form clearly favors the home team
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Lens averages 1.7 goals per game this season, while Rennes averages 1.5 goals
The crucial difference lies in defense: Lens is a fortress at home, conceding only 0.36 goals per game on average
In contrast, Rennes is extremely vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.86 goals per game
Lens has kept a clean sheet in 8 of 20 matches, compared to 5 for Rennes
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Lens has the upper hand with 1 win, while Rennes has failed to secure a victory, and 4 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is very tight at 4:3 in favor of Lens
The last meeting ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating historically close contests
Key Players
For Lens, Wesley Saïd (8 season goals) and Odsonne Édouard (7 goals) are the key offensive players
Adrien Thomasson has contributed with 6 assists
For Rennes, the most dangerous attackers are Estéban Lepaul with 8 goals and Breel Embolo with 5 goals
Mousa Tamari and Quentin Merlin have each provided 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Lens' goalkeeper, Robin Risser, has kept 8 clean sheets in 20 appearances this season
Brice Samba, in goal for Rennes, has managed 5 clean sheets in 20 matches
Influences
The home advantage for Lens is significant, reflected by only 4 goals conceded in 11 home games
However, the venue's recent stats suggest a low-scoring affair, with an average of just 1.6 goals over the last five matches
Both teams are accustomed to a grass surface, with Lens having a record of 8 wins and 2 losses at home on it