Ligue 1
Lorient - Angers SCO
02/15/2026, 04:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
9%2:0
9%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
33%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Key Factors
- Critical offensive weakening for Angers SCO, with only 50% of their season's goal production available in the squad
- Defensive mismatch: Lorient's stable home defense (1.0 goals conceded/game) meets Angers' extremely vulnerable away defense (2.17 goals conceded/game)
- Despite personnel issues, Angers SCO enters the match with momentum from two consecutive wins, while Lorient recently suffered a defeat
Risk Factors
- The head-to-head record slightly favors Angers SCO, who have won 2 of the last 5 duels, including the most recent one
- Lorient is missing six players due to injury, which could affect squad depth
- The mathematical analysis suggests a close game, with a relatively high probability of a draw at 33%
Overview
Lorient (11th place, 28 points) hosts Angers SCO (10th place, 29 points) at the Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Ligue 1 match on February 15, 2026, 5:15 PM
This is a tight mid-table clash with only one point separating the two teams
Form
Lorient form: DWWWL
In the last 5 games, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their good run was recently halted by a defeat
Angers SCO form: LLDWW
The team has achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Angers enters the match with the momentum of two consecutive victories
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Lorient scores an average of 1.29 goals per game, with a home average of 1.25 goals
Angers SCO averages 1.05 goals per game, dropping to 1.00 away
Defensively, Lorient is solid at home, conceding only 1.0 goal per game
In contrast, Angers is very vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 2.17 goals
Angers has kept 8 clean sheets this season, while Lorient has managed 4
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Angers SCO had the upper hand with 2 victories
Lorient won one match, while 2 games ended in a draw
The goal difference is 4-2 in favor of Angers SCO
The last meeting was won by Angers with a score of 2-0
Key Players
For Lorient, the key players are Pablo Pagis with 6 season goals, Bamba Dieng with 3 goals and 1 assist, and Jean-Victor Makengo with 2 goals and 1 assist
For Angers SCO, Louis Mouton (2 goals, 1 assist), Yassin Belkhdim (2 goals, 2 assists), and Lilian Raolisoa (2 goals, 1 assist) are the crucial actors
Goalkeepers
The goalkeeper matchup features Yvon Mvogo for Lorient against Hervé Koffi for Angers SCO
Koffi has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Mvogo's team has managed 4 games without conceding a goal
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf, where Lorient has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses
Angers SCO has only played one match on this surface, which ended in a draw
In Lorient's last five home games, there has been an average of 2.4 goals
Both teams scored in four of these five matches