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Coppa Italia

Fiorentina - Pisa

09/15/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 0
Expected Goals
Fiorentina
1.8
Total xG
2.7
Pisa
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
FIOPIS

Fiorentina

Attack strength (1.38x league average)
+0.66
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.11
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.11
NicolĆ² Fagioli on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
55% of goal output missing (only 35% available)

Pisa

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.04
Stefano Moreo on the bench (7 goals, 1 assists)
Michel Aebischer not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Samuele Angori on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
53% of goal output missing (only 43% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Pisa: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Pisa: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)

  • 3
    Pisa: 6 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

81%

Away or Draw

46%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Only 35% of the goal threat available for Fiorentina, with NicolĆ³ Fagioli missing
  • Only 44% of the goal threat available for Pisa, with Stefano Moreo, Michel Aebischer, and Samuele Angori missing
  • Fiorentina averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Pisa's 3.2
Risk Factors
  • Pisa conceded an average of 1.80 goals per away game
  • Pisa's goal scoring is stalling with only 0.6 goals recently compared to the season average of 0.8
Overview

Fiorentina host Pisa at the Stadio Artemio Franchi

Coppa Italia match on September 15, 2026, 9:00 PM

A cup tie with a clear favorite role for the home side

Form

Fiorentina recently recorded 2 wins and 3 losses

Their last outing ended in a 4-2 away victory against Venezia

Pisa is winless in 5 matches with 1 draw and 4 losses

Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Empoli

Fiorentina form: WLLLW, Pisa form: LLLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Fiorentina scored an average of 1.08 goals per game this season and conceded 1.32

In home games, Fiorentina averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded

Pisa averaged 0.68 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.87

On the road, Pisa conceded an average of 1.80 goals while scoring only 0.68

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches so far

Fiorentina recorded 1 win, while Pisa remained winless with 1 draw

The goal difference stands at 1-0 in favor of Fiorentina

The last direct meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Fiorentina

Key Players

Rolando Mandragora scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists in 34 appearances

Moise Kean scored 8 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Albert Gudmundsson averaged 1.73 goals per 90 minutes in recent matches

Mehdi LĆ©ris provided 3 assists and scored 2 goals this season

Antonio Caracciolo featured in 35 matches and scored 2 goals

Simone Canestrelli made 37 appearances and scored once

Goalkeepers

David de Gea made 37 appearances this season for Fiorentina

The home goalkeeper contributed to the team's total of 10 clean sheets

Simone Scuffet played 7 matches in goal for Pisa this season

The away side's defense achieved a total of 5 clean sheets

Influences

The match is played on grass at the Stadio Artemio Franchi

An average of 2.6 goals are scored per game at this venue

Both teams scored in 60% of matches played at this stadium

Fiorentina has a balanced goal difference at home of 1.11 scored and 1.11 conceded on average

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