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Ligue 1

Strasbourg - Olympique Lyonnais

02/22/2026, 07:45 PM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Strasbourg
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Olympique Lyonnais
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

29%

Away Win

38%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

62%

Away or Draw

66%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

57%

No

43%

Key Factors
  • Drastic form difference: Olympique Lyonnais arrives with a perfect streak of five wins, while Strasbourg's form is inconsistent (WWLLD)
  • Defensive stability: Lyon has one of the strongest defenses in the league with only 0.91 goals conceded per game, compared to Strasbourg's 1.32
  • Offensive efficiency: Lyon is currently scoring more frequently (2.6 goals per game) than their season average (1.9), showing a stronger positive trend than the home team
Risk Factors
  • Strasbourg's home strength: The home team is extremely difficult to beat and has conceded an average of only 0.7 goals per game at the Stade de la Meinau
  • Historically high-scoring duels: Although Lyon is strong defensively, recent head-to-head matches have been very high-scoring, which could indicate an open game
Overview

Strasbourg (8th place, 31 points) host Olympique Lyonnais (3rd place, 45 points) at the Stade de la Meinau

Form

Strasbourg form: WWLLD. The team has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last 5 matches

Olympique Lyonnais form: WWWWW. The visitors are in outstanding form with a 5-game winning streak

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Both teams have scored 36 goals so far (avg 1.64 per game)

Lyon's defense is significantly more stable, having conceded only 20 goals (avg 0.91), while Strasbourg has conceded 29 (avg 1.32)

Strasbourg is very strong at home, conceding only 0.7 goals per home game

Lyon scores consistently away (avg 1.7 goals) but is more vulnerable defensively (avg 1.3 goals conceded)

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Strasbourg and 3 for Olympique Lyonnais

The goal difference is perfectly balanced at 11:11

The last encounter was won by Lyon away with a score of 2-1

Key Players

Joaquín Panichelli is the top striker with 12 season goals, supported by the in-form Martial Godo, who has scored 4 times in the last 5 games

Guela Doué has provided 5 assists as a defender

Pavel Sulc is a key player for the visitors' attack with 9 goals, while Endrick has impressed since his arrival with 3 goals in 4 games

Corentin Tolisso has contributed 4 goals

Goalkeepers

Strasbourg's goalkeeper Mike Penders has been involved in 7 clean sheets

Lyon's Dominik Greif has kept 12 clean sheets with his team

Influences

The Stade de la Meinau is a fortress for Strasbourg, who concede an average of just 0.7 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in 6 out of 10 home matches

The last 5 games at this stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 2.6 goals per game, and both teams scored in 4 out of 5 cases

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