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Ligue 1

Monaco - Angers SCO

02/28/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Monaco
1.4
Total xG
2.2
Angers SCO
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
MONAS

Monaco

4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.11
Takumi Minamino not in starting XI (3 goals, 2 assists)
Mamadou Coulibaly not in starting XI (3 goals, 2 assists)

Angers SCO

Attack weakness (0.49x league average)
-0.51
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.18
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Declining form (0.5 vs 1 season average)
-0.15
Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.08
Sidiki Chérif not in starting XI (0 goals, 0 assists)
36% of goal output missing (only 59% available)
Weak away record (0.7 vs 1 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.33
+0.33
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

31%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

53%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Home strength vs. away weakness: Monaco scores an average of 1.67 goals at home, while Angers concedes 2.5 goals away
  • Negative form trend for Angers: The visitors lost their last two games without scoring, and their goal output has recently dropped to 0.5 goals per game
  • Historical advantage: Monaco has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches, showing clear dominance in recent history
Risk Factors
  • Weakened attacking power for both teams: Monaco has only 68% of their goal-scoring threat available, Angers even less with 59%
  • Potential fatigue for Monaco: The home team has had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Low efficiency: Both teams average few shots on target (Monaco 3.6, Angers 3.4), which could point to a game with few chances
Overview

AS Monaco, currently in 8th place in the table with 34 points, hosts Angers SCO, who are in 12th place with 29 points

The Ligue 1 match will take place on February 28, 2026, at 7:00 PM at the Stade Louis II

Monaco aims to stay in touch with the European spots, while Angers looks to solidify their mid-table position

Form

Monaco's form from the last five matches is DWLWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

They recently showed a strong performance with a 2-2 draw away at Paris Saint Germain

Angers SCO's form is DWWLL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

They have recently suffered two consecutive losses without scoring a goal

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Monaco is strong offensively at home, scoring an average of 1.67 goals per game

Angers, on the other hand, is defensively vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game

Both teams scored in 14 of Monaco's 23 league games

Angers has kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 23 matches, suggesting a solid basic defense

Head-to-Head

In the last five head-to-head encounters, Monaco was the more successful team with 3 wins, while Angers won once, and one match ended in a draw

The goal difference is clearly in favor of Monaco at 7:3

The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw

Key Players

For Monaco, Folarin Balogun (5 goals, 3 assists), Ansu Fati (8 goals), and Aleksandr Golovin (2 goals, 4 assists) are the key figures in attack

For Angers SCO, Yassin Belkhdim (2 goals, 2 assists), Louis Mouton (2 goals, 1 assist), and Lilian Raolisoa (2 goals, 1 assist) are important players in midfield and attack

Goalkeepers

In goal for Monaco is Philipp Köhn, who has kept 5 clean sheets this season

For Angers SCO, Hervé Koffi is the goalkeeper; he has managed to keep 8 clean sheets so far this season

Influences

Monaco has a clear home advantage, scoring an average of 1.67 goals per game at the Stade Louis II

The last five matches at this stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.4 goals per game

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of the last 5 home games

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