Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain - Monaco
03/06/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
2.9
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
59%
Draw
25%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
41%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 59% home win probability for Paris Saint Germain
- Paris Saint Germain's home strength (2.14 goals scored, 0.29 goals conceded) meets Monaco's defensive away weakness (2.12 goals conceded)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris Saint Germain was dominant, losing only 1 out of 5 games
Risk Factors
- Paris Saint Germain's goal production is currently slowing down (2.0 goals) compared to the season average (2.4 goals)
- Monaco concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game
- Both goalkeepers show a decline in their performance according to the form trend
Overview
Paris Saint Germain (1st place, 57 points) host Monaco (7th place, 37 points) at Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 match on March 6, 2026, 8:45 PM
Paris Saint Germain leads the league and aims to maintain their advantage at the top of the table
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Paris Saint Germain shows a form of LWWDW from all competitions
The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games
Monaco shows a form of WLWDW from all competitions
Monaco achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games
Statistics
Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 2.21 goals per game and conceded 0.79 goals per game
Monaco scored an average of 1.67 goals per game and conceded 1.50 goals per game
At home, Paris Saint Germain scores an average of 2.14 goals and concedes 0.29 goals
Away, Monaco scores an average of 1.62 goals and concedes 2.12 goals
Paris Saint Germain kept 13 clean sheets, Monaco kept 6 clean sheets
At Parc des Princes, an average of 3.4 goals per game are scored
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Paris Saint Germain won 3 times, Monaco won 1 time, and there was 1 draw
Paris Saint Germain scored 13 goals, while Monaco scored 8 goals
The last encounter on February 25, 2026 ended in a 2:2 draw
Paris Saint Germain has been dominant in recent encounters
Key Players
For Paris Saint Germain, Vitinha (1 goal, 7 assists), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (4 goals, 3 assists), and Bradley Barcola (9 goals, 1 assist) are important players
Vitinha has a season average rating of 7.63, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia of 7.20, and Bradley Barcola of 7.16
For Monaco, Folarin Balogun (6 goals, 3 assists), Aleksandr Golovin (2 goals, 5 assists), and Simon Adingra (3 goals, 0 assists) stand out
Aleksandr Golovin has provided 3 assists in his last 3 games
Simon Adingra scored 2 goals in his last game and shows a rising form trend
Goalkeepers
Paris Saint Germain's goalkeeper, Matvey Safonov, has an average rating of 7.00 in 7 season appearances
Monaco's goalkeeper, Philipp Köhn, has an average rating of 6.77 in 18 season appearances
Paris Saint Germain has recorded 13 clean sheets this season
Monaco has recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Influences
Paris Saint Germain shows home strength with an average of 2.14 goals scored and only 0.29 goals conceded at Parc des Princes
The away team Monaco concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game
Parc des Princes sees an average of 3.4 goals per game
In 4 out of 5 games at Parc des Princes, over 2.5 goals were scored