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La Liga

Espanyol - Levante

08/16/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 0
Expected Goals
Espanyol
1.3
Total xG
3.3
Levante
2.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

7%

1:3

6%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
ESPLEV

Espanyol

Attack weakness (0.53x league average)
-1.59
Defensive weakness (1.5 conceded vs 2.5 league avg)
-0.96
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.01
Carlos Romero not in squad (6 goals, 3 assists)
Ludovic Taillandier on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
RamĂłn Terrats not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
53% of goal output missing (only 67% available)

Levante

Attack strength (2.12x league average)
+2.09
Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 0.5 league avg)
+1.17
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.20
Rising form (2 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.20
Carlos EspĂ­ not in squad (11 goals, 0 assists)
Pablo MartĂ­nez not in squad (1 goals, 5 assists)
Kervin Arriaga not in squad (3 goals, 3 assists)
Jeremy Toljan not in squad (1 goals, 4 assists)
34% of goal output missing (only 62% available)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.3 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.50
+0.50
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Espanyol with Rubén Sånchez: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Levante: 5 wins in 6 games with xG above 1.0 (83% win rate)

  • 3
    Espanyol: 75% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 4
    Espanyol: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 5
    Espanyol: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

23%

Draw

24%

Away Win

53%

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

47%

Away or Draw

77%

No Draw

76%

Both Score

Yes

64%

No

36%

Key Factors
  • Strong recent Levante offense: The visitors scored an average of 2.0 goals per game in recent matches
  • Severe squad depletion for Espanyol: The hosts are missing key players and have only 67% of their usual goal threat available
  • Tactical edge: Levante averaged 6.2 shots on target per game in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Squad issues for Levante: The visitors are also missing key players, leaving only 62% of their usual starting goal threat
  • Historically low-scoring venue: The RCDE Stadium averages only 1.2 total goals per game, increasing the risk of a low-scoring match
  • Away defensive struggles for Levante: The visitors concede an average of 1.94 goals per away game
Overview

Espanyol host Levante at the RCDE Stadium

La Liga match on August 16, 2026, 7:00 PM

The mathematical model favors the away side with a 53% win probability

Form

Espanyol's form is LLWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Levante's form stands at LWWWL with a positive recent trend

Levante currently scores more frequently with a 2.0 goals average compared to their 1.33 season average

Statistics

Espanyol averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per match

Levante averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per match

Levante concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches between these teams

Both matches ended in a draw

The last meeting on April 27, 2026, ended in a 0:0 stalemate

Key Players

For Espanyol, Roberto FernĂĄndez excels with 7 goals while Edu ExpĂłsito has 6 assists

Tyrhys Dolan has contributed 2 goals and 5 assists

For Levante, key players include IvĂĄn Romero with 7 goals and Jon Ander Olasagasti with 5 assists

Defender AdriĂĄn Dela has scored 3 goals this season

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the RCDE Stadium

The venue history indicates a very low-scoring trend with an average of 1.2 goals per game

None of the last 5 matches at this venue exceeded 2.5 goals

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