La Liga
Valencia - Real Betis
08/25/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Valencia
Real Betis
The Lab
- 1Real Betis: 32% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (6 of 19)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
29%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Valencia is currently scoring more frequently (2.3) than their season average (1.4) according to advanced stats
- Squad impact for Real Betis: Key attacker Abde Ezzalzouli (10 goals, 8 assists) is missing from the lineup
- Home advantage prediction: The mathematical model calculates a 44% probability for a Valencia home win
Risk Factors
- Valencia faces a short recovery period with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Vulnerable away defense: Real Betis concedes an average of 1.81 goals per away match
- Squad depth reduced for Valencia: Key players Luis Rioja (3 goals, 6 assists) and Diego LĂłpez (4 goals, 1 assist) are missing
Overview
Valencia (13th place, 1 point) host Real Betis (7th place, 3 points) at the Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga match on August 25, 2026, 9:00 PM
The hosts seek their first win of the season while Betis aim to build on their perfect start
Form
Valencia is unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of WDWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Their last result was a 0-0 draw against Celta de Vigo
Real Betis arrives with a form of DWLWW
The visitors won their last match 1-0 against Real Sociedad
Statistics
Valencia scores an average of 1.21 goals and concedes 1.45 goals per match
At home, their defense is more stable, conceding only 1.05 goals per game
Real Betis scores an average of 1.55 goals per game and concedes 1.26 goals
However, the visitors show higher vulnerability away from home with 1.81 goals conceded per match
Head-to-Head
Balanced historical record with 1 win for each team and 2 draws in 4 head-to-head matches
The overall goal difference is 7-6 in favor of Valencia
The last direct encounter on February 1, 2026 ended in a 2-1 victory for Real Betis
Key Players
Javi Guerra shines in midfield with 4 goals and 6 assists, averaging a 6.79 rating
Hugo Duro has contributed 10 goals this season with a rating of 6.73
Guido RodrĂguez delivers solid performances with 4 goals and a season rating of 7.02
Pablo Fornals controls the game with 9 goals, 6 assists, and a top-rated 7.30 average
Antony energizes the attack with 8 goals, 6 assists, and a season rating of 7.26
Cucho HernĂĄndez leads with 11 goals, 3 assists, and a rating of 7.04
Goalkeepers
Stole Dimitrievski starts in goal for Valencia, carrying a season average rating of 6.83
Ălvaro Valles guards the net for Real Betis with a season average rating of 6.95
Valencia kept 9 clean sheets this season, while Real Betis recorded 10 clean sheets
Influences
Valencia benefits from home advantage at the Estadio de Mestalla with an average of 2.2 goals per game in recent matches
The match will be played on natural grass
Valencia had 3 days of rest, giving them one day less to recover than Real Betis with 4 days of rest