🇪🇸

La Liga

Málaga - Deportivo La Coruña

08/24/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Málaga
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Deportivo La Coruña
0.9
Most Likely Scores

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

11%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
MÁLDLC

Málaga

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.28
Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.24

Deportivo La Coruña

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-1.85
Attack strength (1.68x league average)
+1.55
Defensive strength (0.6 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.61
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Deportivo La Coruña: first goal in 4 of 5 games (80%)

  • 2
    Deportivo La Coruña: 4 goals from minute 80 onwards in 5 games. Against Samano: 2 goals (80', 89')

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

34%

Away Win

28%

Goals

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

72%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

41%

No

59%

Key Factors
  • Stable visitor form: Deportivo La Coruña lost only once in their last five matches securing three victories
  • Away defensive strength: Deportivo conceded an average of only 0.25 goals per match in four away games
  • Tactical approach: Málaga operated with a counter-focused style averaging 36.7% possession in recent games
Risk Factors
  • Málaga's defensive struggles with a season average of 1.5 goals conceded per match
  • Limited data availability concerning past head-to-head matches between the clubs
  • Lack of offensive precision for Málaga averaging only 3.7 shots on target in recent games
Overview

Málaga host Deportivo La Coruña in La Liga

The match takes place at Estadio La Rosaleda on August 24, 2026, at 9:30 PM

Málaga currently sit in 19th place with zero points

Deportivo La Coruña travel as 10th in the standings with one point

A key early-season match for both clubs

Form

Málaga enter the game with a form profile of WLL

The hosts suffered two consecutive defeats recently

Deportivo La Coruña travel with a form trend of WWWLD

The visitors collected three wins and one draw in their last five matches

Statistics

Málaga scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season

The home side conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match

Deportivo La Coruña average 2.0 goals scored per game

The visitors boast a strong defensive record of 0.5 goals conceded on average

Head-to-Head

No head-to-head records are available in the provided dataset

A direct historical comparison between the sides is missing

Key Players

Alfonso Herrero lines up between the posts

Dani Lorenzo features in the midfield setup

Juan Cruz starts in the attacking line

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang spearheads the attack

Mario Soriano directs the play in midfield

Leo Román starts as goalkeeper

Goalkeepers

Alfonso Herrero is still searching for his first clean sheet of the season

Leo Román has already secured 2 clean sheets

Influences

The game will be contested on natural grass at Estadio La Rosaleda

Deportivo are dangerous on the road averaging 1.75 goals scored

The visitors conceded only 0.25 goals per game in away matches

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.