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La Liga

Getafe - Racing Santander

08/23/2026, 05:30 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Getafe
1.1
Total xG
1.8
Racing Santander
0.7
Most Likely Scores

0:0

18%

1:0

17%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

10%
What influences the xG?
GETRS

Getafe

Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.52
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.37
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.13
Rising form (1.4 vs 1 season average)
+0.13
Luis Milla not in squad (1 goals, 10 assists)
Mauro Arambarri not in squad (6 goals, 2 assists)
Mario MartĂ­n on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Juan Iglesias not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Abdel Abqar on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Domingos Duarte not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
51% of goal output missing (only 29% available)

Racing Santander

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.75
Attack strength (2.06x league average)
+0.52
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Racing Santander: first goal in 4 of 5 games (80%)

  • 2
    Getafe with Zaid Romero: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

  • 3
    Racing Santander: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 5 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

35%

Away Win

21%

Goals

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

79%

Away or Draw

56%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

35%

No

65%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact: Only 29% of goal-threat available for Getafe without Luis Milla, Mauro Arambarri, Mario MartĂ­n, Juan Iglesias, Abdel Abqar, and Domingos Duarte
  • Tactical trend: Getafe averaged 2.8 shots on target with 49% possession in recent matches
  • Offensive tactical trend: Racing Santander averaged 5.4 shots on target with 41% possession in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Getafe with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Getafe averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for Racing Santander player statistics
Overview

Getafe hosts Racing Santander

La Liga match on August 23, 2026, 7:30 PM

Getafe currently sits in 20th place with no points

Racing Santander travels as 8th in the standings with one point

An important match for the hosts to secure their first points of the season

Form

Getafe form across all competitions: WLWLW

W = Win, L = Loss

Most recent match was a 3-1 home win against Partizan

Racing Santander form: WWWLD

D = Draw

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Villarreal

Statistics

Getafe scored an average of 0.84 goals and conceded 1.00 goal per game this season

At home, they averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded

Racing Santander averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per game

Away from home, Racing Santander conceded an average of only 0.33 goals

The venue averages 2.6 goals per game

Goalkeepers

David Soria starts in goal for Getafe with 12 clean sheets this season

Julen Agirrezabala guards the goal for Racing Santander with 1 clean sheet this season

Influences

Getafe shows a strong home defense with only 0.76 goals conceded on average

Racing Santander is defensively very stable away, conceding just 0.33 goals per game

The Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez averages 2.6 goals per match

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