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La Liga

Real Betis - Real Sociedad

08/21/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Real Betis
1.6
Total xG
3.4
Real Sociedad
1.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
What influences the xG?
RBRS

Real Betis

Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 2 league avg)
-0.67
Attack weakness (0.77x league average)
-0.48
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.06
Abde Ezzalzouli not in squad (10 goals, 8 assists)
Giovani Lo Celso not in squad (2 goals, 3 assists)
17% of goal output missing (only 79% available)

Real Sociedad

Attack strength (1.62x league average)
+1.44
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.07
Mikel Oyarzabal not in squad (15 goals, 4 assists)
Jon Gorrotxategi not in squad (1 goals, 3 assists)
Beñat Turrientes not in squad (0 goals, 3 assists)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.6 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Real Betis: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

25%

Away Win

41%

Goals

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

59%

Away or Draw

66%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

68%

No

32%

Key Factors
  • Tactical edge: Real Betis averaged 5.6 shots on target recently, while Real Sociedad averaged only 3.0 in recent matches
  • Form gap: Real Betis displays a more stable run with WDWLW compared to Real Sociedad's winless LDDLD trend
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis estimates a high 68% probability of both teams scoring
Risk Factors
  • Away weakness: Real Sociedad concedes an average of 2.14 goals per away match
  • Squad impact: Real Betis has to play without key players Abde Ezzalzouli (10 goals, 8 assists) and Giovani Lo Celso
  • Offensive limits: Real Sociedad averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
Overview

Real Betis host Real Sociedad at the Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

La Liga match on August 21, 2026, 9:00 PM

Both teams start the new season level on points

An exciting clash between two ambitious Spanish clubs

Form

Real Betis shows a positive trend with a form of WDWLW

The home side recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently

Real Sociedad struggles with a form of LDDLD

The visitors are winless in their last 5 matches with 3 draws and 2 losses

Statistics

Both teams scored 59 goals in 38 matches during the previous season

Real Betis conceded 1.26 goals per game on average, compared to Real Sociedad's 1.61

Real Betis kept 10 clean sheets, while Real Sociedad only managed 3

Real Sociedad struggled away from home, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per match

Head-to-Head

Out of the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Betis won 2, Real Sociedad won 1, with 1 draw

The goal difference is 8:5 in favor of Real Betis

The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw on May 9, 2026

Real Betis holds a slight historical advantage recently

Key Players

Pablo Fornals scored 9 goals and provided 6 assists last season

Antony contributed 8 goals and 6 assists for Real Betis

Orri Óskarsson scored 9 goals in 20 games for Real Sociedad

Goalkeepers

Álvaro Valles kept 10 clean sheets for Real Betis last season

Álex Remiro recorded 3 clean sheets overall for Real Sociedad

The home goalkeeper holds the statistically stronger record heading into this match

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

Recent matches at this venue averaged 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of those games

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