Ligue 1
Nantes - Angers SCO
03/07/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.0
0.7
1:0
16%0:0
15%1:1
14%2:0
12%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Nantes
Angers SCO
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
32%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Key Factors
- Mathematical analysis: The model predicts a home win for Nantes with a 50% probability
- Angers' away weakness: The team concedes an average of 2.43 goals per away game
- Recent form: Angers SCO has lost their last three consecutive matches
Risk Factors
- Limited goal threat for Angers SCO: Only 67% of usual starting eleven strength available, Louis Mouton (2G/1A) and Lilian Raolisoa (2G/1A) are not in the lineup
- Nantes' offense: The home team has only an average of 1.8 shots on target according to tactical metrics
- Nantes' current form: The team recorded 4 losses in their last 5 games
Overview
Nantes (17th place, 17 points) host Angers SCO (12th place, 29 points) at the Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The Ligue 1 match takes place on March 7, 2026, 5:00 PM. Nantes is battling relegation and urgently needs points, while Angers is trying to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Form
Nantes' form (LLLWL) shows one win and four losses in their last five games. Their last result was a loss.
Angers SCO's form (WWLLL) includes two wins and three losses in their last five games. They have three consecutive losses. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Nantes scored an average of 0.92 goals per game this season and conceded 1.71 goals. At home, they scored 0.92 goals and conceded 1.69 goals. They kept 4 clean sheets.
Angers SCO also scored an average of 0.92 goals but conceded only 1.25 goals. Away from home, they conceded an average of 2.43 goals. Angers SCO recorded 8 clean sheets.
Nantes' home games at the Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau see an average of 2.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head matches, Nantes recorded one win, Angers SCO secured two wins, and there were two draws. Angers SCO won the last direct encounter with a 4-1 victory on December 12, 2025. Angers SCO has dominated recent matchups.
Key Players
For Nantes, Matthis Abline (Attacker) with 4 goals and 2 assists, and Fabien Centonze (Defender) with 3 goals are statistically important players. Chidozie Awaziem (Defender) has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist. Matthis Abline shows a declining form trend, while Fabien Centonze and Chidozie Awaziem have stable form.
For Angers SCO, Yassin Belkhdim (Midfielder) with 2 goals and 2 assists, and Carlens Arcus (Defender) with 3 assists are noteworthy. Ousmane Camara (Defender) has scored 1 goal. Yassin Belkhdim, Carlens Arcus, and Ousmane Camara all show a rising form trend.
Goalkeepers
Anthony Lopes, Nantes' goalkeeper, played 23 season games and has an average rating of 6.92. He kept 4 clean sheets.
Hervé Koffi, Angers SCO's goalkeeper, played 21 season games and has an average rating of 7.24. He recorded 8 clean sheets.
Influences
The playing surface at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau is grass. Nantes scored an average of 0.92 goals at home and conceded 1.69 goals. According to venue statistics, there are an average of 2.8 goals per game.