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La Liga

Levante - Real Betis

08/29/2026, 03:00 PM

5 : 2
Expected Goals
Levante
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Real Betis
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
What influences the xG?
LEVRB

Levante

Attack strength (1.4x league average)
+0.57
Defensive strength (1.7 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.25
Standings disadvantage (pos 16 vs 5, 11 places gap)
-0.20
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.03
Carlos EspĂ­ not in squad (11 goals, 0 assists)
Pablo MartĂ­nez not in squad (1 goals, 5 assists)
Kervin Arriaga not in squad (3 goals, 3 assists)
Jeremy Toljan on the bench (1 goals, 4 assists)
41% of goal output missing (only 60% available)

Real Betis

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.11
Declining form (1.4 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.11
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 16, 11 places gap)
+0.05
Abde Ezzalzouli on the bench (10 goals, 8 assists)
Pablo Fornals on the bench (9 goals, 6 assists)
Cucho HernĂĄndez on the bench (11 goals, 3 assists)
60% of goal output missing (only 45% available)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.8 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Levante: 6 wins in 7 games with xG above 1.0 (86% win rate)

  • 2
    Real Betis: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

  • 3
    Levante: 33% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 18)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

28%

Away Win

21%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

79%

Away or Draw

49%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Only 46% of attacking threat available, without Abde Ezzalzouli, Pablo Fornals, Cucho HernĂĄndez
  • Levante recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target
  • Mathematical models favor Levante at home with a 51% win probability
Risk Factors
  • Carlos EspĂ­, Pablo MartĂ­nez, Kervin Arriaga, Jeremy Toljan missing, only 61% of attacking threat available
  • Away struggles with Real Betis conceding an average of 1.81 goals per away match last season
  • Levante recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target
Overview

Levante (17th place, 1 point) host Real Betis (5th place, 6 points) at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

La Liga match on August 29, 2026, 5:00 PM

Levante search for their first win of the season, while Real Betis look to maintain their perfect record

Form

Levante enter with a form of WWLLD, most recently recording a draw

Real Betis travel with a form of WLWWW, securing two consecutive wins

The visitors achieved four wins and suffered one defeat in their last five matches

Statistics

Levante averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per match last season

Real Betis averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per game

In away matches last season, Real Betis conceded an average of 1.81 goals

Head-to-Head

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Betis won once and there was one draw

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 home victory for Real Betis on May 23, 2026

Real Betis scored a total of 4 goals in these games, while Levante scored 3

Key Players

IvĂĄn Romero scored 7 goals and provided 1 assist last season

Jon Ander Olasagasti registered 2 assists in his last 5 matches

Antony recorded 8 goals and 6 assists in the previous campaign

Goalkeepers

Mathew Ryan achieved an average rating of 7.13 last season

Álvaro Valles appeared in 28 matches last season, recording an average rating of 6.95

Levante secured 9 clean sheets in the previous campaign, while Real Betis managed 10

Influences

Home advantage is supported by Levante's average of 1.24 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home

The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia averaged 2.2 goals per match in recent fixtures

The game will be played on natural grass

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