La Liga
Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna
09/06/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.2
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
13%0:1
9%2:0
9%What influences the xG?
Deportivo Alavés
Osasuna
League
The Lab
- 1Osasuna: opponent scores first in 9 of 11 games (82%)
- 2Osasuna: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against Sevilla: 2 goals (80', 90+9')
- 3Deportivo Alavés: 6 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against Getafe: 2 goals (90+1', 90+4')
- 4Deportivo Alavés: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)
- 5Deportivo Alavés with Ángel Pérez starting: 1.6 goals/game, without him: 1.1 (17/10 games, last 30)
- 6Osasuna: 4 of 13 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
32%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Matchup focus: Alavés averages 1.16 goals per season and meets Osasuna's fragile away defense which concedes 2.36 goals on average per game
- Tactical setup: Osasuna averaged 5.6 shots on target recently showing offensive strength, while Alavés averaged 5.0 shots on target
- Form trend: Alavés scores consistently with about 1.4 goals per game, whereas Osasuna's goal production recently slowed to 1.0 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Osasuna concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away game
- Alavés has historically failed to win any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Osasuna
- Limited data quality regarding duel statistics in recent matches
Overview
Deportivo Alavés host Osasuna at the Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga match on September 6, 2026, 6:30 PM
Both teams are tied in the upper half of the table with 7 points
Alavés sit in 5th place and Osasuna in 6th place
A direct duel for European spots early in the season
Form
Deportivo Alavés show solid form of WLWDW with a recent win against Villarreal
Osasuna show an upward trend of LLDWW with two consecutive wins
The hosts recorded 3 wins and 1 draw from their last five matches
Osasuna recently secured 2 wins and 1 draw
Statistics
Alavés averaged 1.16 goals scored per game across the entire season
Osasuna also averaged 1.16 goals scored per game
In home matches Alavés concede 1.14 goals on average
Osasuna have conceded 26 goals in 11 away matches, averaging 2.36 per game
Head-to-Head
In the past 4 head-to-head matches there were 3 draws and one win for Osasuna
Alavés failed to win any of these direct duels
The last encounter ended in a 2:2 draw on April 5, 2026
The overall goal difference in these matches stands at 5:8 in favor of Osasuna
Key Players
Lucas Boyé leads Alavés' attack with 11 goals this season
Antonio Blanco impresses in the hosts' midfield with 2 goals and 3 assists
Mariano Díaz showed great improvement recently with 2 goals and 2 assists in 3 games
For Osasuna Ante Budimir is the most dangerous forward with 17 goals this season
Rubén García contributed 2 goals and 5 assists so far this season
Not nominated for Alavés: Toni Martínez (14 goals, 3 assists)
Not nominated for Osasuna: Aimar Oroz (0 goals, 2 assists)
Goalkeepers
Antonio Sivera is in goal for Alavés and kept 5 clean sheets this season
Sergio Herrera guarded the net for Osasuna and achieved 7 clean sheets so far
Influences
Alavés rely on their home advantage at the Estadio de Mendizorroza
The venue history shows an average of 2.8 goals per match in this stadium
Osasuna travel with a vulnerable away defense