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La Liga

Getafe - Celta de Vigo

09/07/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Getafe
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Celta de Vigo
0.7
Most Likely Scores

1:0

16%

0:0

16%

1:1

14%

2:0

11%

0:1

8%
What influences the xG?
GETCDV

Getafe

Attack weakness (0.68x league average)
-0.59
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
-0.58
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.01

Celta de Vigo

Attack weakness (0.7x league average)
-0.73
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.32
Declining form (0.7 vs 1.5 season average)
-0.24
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Ferran JutglĂ  on the bench (9 goals, 3 assists)
Williot Swedberg on the bench (5 goals, 5 assists)
Javi Rueda on the bench (2 goals, 6 assists)
Sergio Carreira on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
40% of goal output missing (only 55% available)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.5 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.47
+0.47
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Getafe: 3.1 cards per game (34 yellows, 3 reds in 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

33%

Away Win

19%

Goals

Over 1.5

60%

Under 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

81%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

38%

No

62%

Key Factors
  • Getafe show strong defensive stability at home, conceding an average of just 0.76 goals per home match
  • Celta de Vigo's goalscoring has stalled, averaging only 0.67 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.47
  • Mathematical analysis favors Getafe with a 48% probability of a home win
Risk Factors
  • Ferran JutglĂ , Williot Swedberg, Javi Rueda, Sergio Carreira are missing, with only 56% of attacking threat available
  • Both teams averaged low attacking threat recently with under 3 shots on target per match (Getafe 2.6, Celta 2.4)
  • Celta de Vigo have a shorter recovery window with only 4 days of rest since their last match
Overview

Getafe (15th place, 3 points) host Celta de Vigo (17th place, 2 points) at the Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez

La Liga match on September 7, 2026, 7:00 PM

A crucial bottom-table clash where both sides desperately need points

Form

Getafe enter the match with a form of LWWLL across all competitions

The home team recorded two consecutive defeats in their recent outings

Celta de Vigo travel with a form of WDLLD

The visitors are winless in their last four league matches

Statistics

Getafe score an average of 0.84 goals and concede 1 goal per match this season

At home, the hosts concede an average of just 0.76 goals per game

Celta de Vigo average 1.41 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded away from home

The visitors failed to score in 6 of their 38 matches this season

Head-to-Head

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Getafe won 1, Celta de Vigo won 2, and 1 ended in a draw

The goal difference is balanced at 3:3

The last meeting on February 1, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw

Key Players

MartĂ­n Satriano already scored 6 goals for the home team this season

Zaid Romero anchors the defense with 1 goal and a season average rating of 6.98

Kiko FemenĂ­a contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Iago Aspas leads the visitors' attack with 5 goals and 3 assists

Ilaix Moriba contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in midfield

Pablo DurĂĄn recorded 2 goals and 2 assists so far this season

Goalkeepers

David Soria kept 12 clean sheets for Getafe this season

Ionuț Radu registered 10 clean sheets in 38 appearances for Celta de Vigo

Influences

Getafe benefit from strong home defensive numbers, conceding only 16 goals in 21 home matches

The stadium averages 2.4 total goals per game

The match will be played on natural grass

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